Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[46])
34	2139	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	1898	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	2537	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	2069	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	2063	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	2526	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	2440	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	2191	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	2797	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	2074	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	2628	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	2287	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	2146	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	2430	2133.0141	1824.5617	2640.1164	0.1255	0.48	0.8182	0.48
48	2141	2418.6931	2002.012	3201.3298	0.2434	0.4887	0.3835	0.7527
49	1827	2085.6777	1781.8485	2587.5809	0.1562	0.4145	0.526	0.4069
50	2082	2224.1932	1858.9722	2882.7224	0.3361	0.8814	0.6843	0.592
51	1788	2490.0735	2011.4221	3492.9708	0.085	0.7874	0.472	0.7493
52	1743	2407.3046	1958.7739	3315.9368	0.0759	0.9092	0.4719	0.7135
53	2245	2472.1272	1992.2175	3488.9288	0.3308	0.9201	0.7061	0.7352
54	1963	2478.9152	1993.8113	3516.2753	0.1648	0.6707	0.2739	0.7353
55	1828	2347.2563	1917.4929	3202.3948	0.117	0.8108	0.7344	0.6777
56	2527	2646.1608	2081.0222	3999.2217	0.4315	0.882	0.5105	0.7656
57	2114	2329.6703	1905.7042	3168.1718	0.3071	0.3223	0.5397	0.6662
58	2424	2218.0841	1839.352	2923.8668	0.2837	0.6137	0.5793	0.5793

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
47	0.1213	0.1392	0.0116	88200.614	7350.0512	85.7324
48	0.1651	-0.1148	0.0096	77113.4855	6426.1238	80.1631
49	0.1228	-0.124	0.0103	66914.1361	5576.178	74.6738
50	0.1511	-0.0639	0.0053	20218.9018	1684.9085	41.0476
51	0.2055	-0.2819	0.0235	492907.2522	41075.6043	202.6712
52	0.1926	-0.276	0.023	441300.5593	36775.0466	191.7682
53	0.2099	-0.0919	0.0077	51586.749	4298.8957	65.566
54	0.2135	-0.2081	0.0173	266168.4716	22180.706	148.9319
55	0.1859	-0.2212	0.0184	269627.0675	22468.9223	149.8964
56	0.2609	-0.045	0.0038	14199.2913	1183.2743	34.3988
57	0.1836	-0.0926	0.0077	46513.6971	3876.1414	62.2587
58	0.1623	0.0928	0.0077	42401.3645	3533.447	59.4428