Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	114.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	100.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	85.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	114.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	109.90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	100.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	115.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	100.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	102.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	108.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	105.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	113.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	95.7	111.5414	91.2613	136.8896	0.1103	0.449	0.8034	0.449
50	80.9	112.8624	88.4096	144.9617	0.0255	0.8527	0.9532	0.4918
51	113.9	113.2181	84.448	153.1399	0.4866	0.9437	0.473	0.5004
52	98.1	113.8947	81.6221	160.7632	0.2545	0.4999	0.5663	0.5116
53	102.8	114.471	78.9965	168.2632	0.3353	0.7246	0.6921	0.5185
54	104.7	115.0847	76.6876	175.6994	0.3685	0.6544	0.4946	0.5243
55	95.9	115.6909	74.5687	183.1495	0.2826	0.6253	0.6684	0.5288
56	94.6	116.3043	72.6176	190.6611	0.2836	0.7047	0.6759	0.5326
57	101.6	116.92	70.7991	198.2706	0.356	0.7046	0.6377	0.5357
58	103.9	117.5397	69.0936	206.0073	0.3813	0.638	0.5768	0.5383
59	110.3	118.1629	67.4841	213.8953	0.4361	0.6149	0.5991	0.5405
60	114.1	118.7898	65.9583	221.9556	0.4645	0.5641	0.5423	0.5423

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.1159	-0.142	0	250.9503	0	0
50	0.1451	-0.2832	0.2126	1021.5921	636.2712	25.2244
51	0.1799	0.006	0.1437	0.4649	424.3358	20.5994
52	0.21	-0.1387	0.1425	249.4725	380.62	19.5095
53	0.2398	-0.102	0.1344	136.2123	331.7384	18.2137
54	0.2687	-0.0902	0.127	107.843	294.4225	17.1587
55	0.2975	-0.1711	0.1333	391.6804	308.3165	17.5589
56	0.3262	-0.1866	0.14	471.075	328.6613	18.129
57	0.355	-0.131	0.139	234.702	318.2214	17.8388
58	0.384	-0.116	0.1367	186.0412	305.0034	17.4643
59	0.4134	-0.0665	0.1303	61.825	282.8963	16.8195
60	0.4431	-0.0395	0.1227	21.9938	261.1544	16.1603