Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[44])
32	0.8244	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	0.8487	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	0.8572	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	0.8214	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	0.8827	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	0.9216	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	0.8865	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	0.8816	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	0.8884	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	0.9466	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	0.918	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	0.9337	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	0.9559	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	0.9626	0.9457	0.8699	1.073	0.3973	0.4375	0.9323	0.4375
46	0.9434	0.9456	0.8586	1.1091	0.4894	0.4193	0.8554	0.4509
47	0.8639	0.9456	0.8494	1.1456	0.2116	0.5086	0.8883	0.4598
48	0.7996	0.9456	0.8417	1.184	0.1149	0.7492	0.6975	0.4663
49	0.668	0.9456	0.8349	1.2253	0.0259	0.8469	0.5668	0.4713
50	0.6572	0.9456	0.8289	1.271	0.0412	0.9528	0.6391	0.4753
51	0.6928	0.9456	0.8235	1.3227	0.0944	0.9331	0.6303	0.4787
52	0.6438	0.9456	0.8185	1.3828	0.088	0.8715	0.6012	0.4816
53	0.6454	0.9456	0.8139	1.4552	0.1241	0.8772	0.4985	0.4842
54	0.6873	0.9456	0.8097	1.5463	0.1996	0.8364	0.5359	0.4866
55	0.7265	0.9456	0.8057	1.669	0.2764	0.758	0.5129	0.4889
56	0.7912	0.9456	0.802	1.8538	0.3695	0.6818	0.4911	0.4911

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
45	0.0687	0.0179	0.0015	3e-04	0	0.0049
46	0.0882	-0.0023	2e-04	0	0	6e-04
47	0.1079	-0.0864	0.0072	0.0067	6e-04	0.0236
48	0.1286	-0.1544	0.0129	0.0213	0.0018	0.0421
49	0.1509	-0.2936	0.0245	0.0771	0.0064	0.0801
50	0.1756	-0.305	0.0254	0.0832	0.0069	0.0833
51	0.2035	-0.2674	0.0223	0.0639	0.0053	0.073
52	0.2359	-0.3192	0.0266	0.0911	0.0076	0.0871
53	0.2749	-0.3175	0.0265	0.0901	0.0075	0.0867
54	0.3241	-0.2732	0.0228	0.0667	0.0056	0.0746
55	0.3903	-0.2317	0.0193	0.048	0.004	0.0633
56	0.49	-0.1633	0.0136	0.0238	0.002	0.0446