Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[108])
96	108.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	108.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
98	108.84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
99	109.62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
100	110.42	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
101	110.67	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
102	111.66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
103	112.28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
104	112.87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
105	112.18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
106	112.36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
107	112.16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
108	111.49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
109	111.25	111.3811	110.7866	111.9757	0.3327	0.3599	1	0.3599
110	111.36	111.4759	110.5359	112.4159	0.4045	0.6812	1	0.4883
111	111.74	112.0138	110.8248	113.2029	0.3259	0.8594	1	0.806
112	111.1	112.1095	110.7153	113.5038	0.0779	0.6983	0.9912	0.8081
113	111.33	112.5725	110.9996	114.1455	0.0608	0.9667	0.9911	0.9113
114	111.25	112.868	111.1347	114.6013	0.0337	0.959	0.914	0.9404
115	111.04	112.9417	111.0617	114.8218	0.0237	0.9611	0.7549	0.9349
116	110.97	113.3652	111.3491	115.3813	0.0099	0.9881	0.6849	0.9658
117	111.31	113.2899	111.1463	115.4335	0.0351	0.983	0.8449	0.9501
118	111.02	113.1955	110.9316	115.4594	0.0298	0.9487	0.7653	0.9301
119	111.07	113.2522	110.8741	115.6303	0.036	0.9671	0.816	0.9268
120	111.36	113.636	111.1489	116.1231	0.0364	0.9784	0.9546	0.9546

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
109	0.0027	-0.0012	0	0.0172	0	0
110	0.0043	-0.001	0.0011	0.0134	0.0153	0.1238
111	0.0054	-0.0024	0.0016	0.075	0.0352	0.1876
112	0.0063	-0.009	0.0034	1.0192	0.2812	0.5303
113	0.0071	-0.011	0.0049	1.5439	0.5337	0.7306
114	0.0078	-0.0143	0.0065	2.6179	0.8811	0.9387
115	0.0085	-0.0168	0.008	3.6166	1.2719	1.1278
116	0.0091	-0.0211	0.0096	5.737	1.83	1.3528
117	0.0097	-0.0175	0.0105	3.9201	2.0622	1.4361
118	0.0102	-0.0192	0.0114	4.7327	2.3293	1.5262
119	0.0107	-0.0193	0.0121	4.7621	2.5505	1.597
120	0.0112	-0.02	0.0127	5.1802	2.7696	1.6642