Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[32])
20	620	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	626	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	620	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	588	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	566	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	557	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	561	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	549	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	532	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	526	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	511	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	499	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	555	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	565	556.861	543.8437	569.8782	0.1102	0.6103	0	0.6103
34	542	544.4457	526.3598	562.5316	0.3955	0.013	0	0.1264
35	527	511.4297	487.9045	534.9548	0.0973	0.0054	0	1e-04
36	510	489.6716	459.5036	519.8397	0.0933	0.0076	0	0
37	514	476.1287	440.2082	512.0492	0.0194	0.0323	0	0
38	517	475.8861	435.0803	516.6918	0.0241	0.0336	0	1e-04
39	508	464.2444	417.8479	510.6408	0.0323	0.0129	2e-04	1e-04
40	493	446.6081	394.082	499.1342	0.0417	0.011	7e-04	0
41	490	436.324	378.4027	494.2452	0.0347	0.0276	0.0012	0
42	469	419.0361	356.0295	482.0427	0.0601	0.0136	0.0021	0
43	478	407.8563	339.1651	476.5475	0.0227	0.0405	0.0047	0
44	528	462.4072	387.948	536.8664	0.0421	0.3407	0.0074	0.0074
45	534	460.7392	375.6112	545.8672	0.0458	0.0607	0.0082	0.015
46	518	447.5259	352.7413	542.3106	0.0725	0.0369	0.0254	0.0131
47	506	415.173	309.696	520.6501	0.0457	0.028	0.0189	0.0047
48	502	391.4574	274.4719	508.443	0.032	0.0275	0.0235	0.0031
49	516	375.3935	247.8491	502.938	0.0154	0.0259	0.0166	0.0029
50	528	375.2871	237.6063	512.9679	0.0149	0.0226	0.0218	0.0053
51	533	363.8398	215.1765	512.5031	0.0129	0.0152	0.0287	0.0059
52	536	344.1165	184.3418	503.8912	0.0093	0.0102	0.0339	0.0048
53	537	332.3349	162.2851	502.3846	0.0092	0.0095	0.0346	0.0051
54	524	315.6017	135.3268	495.8766	0.0117	0.008	0.0477	0.0046
55	536	304.0918	113.0225	495.1611	0.0087	0.012	0.0372	0.005
56	587	356.7583	155.1427	558.3739	0.0126	0.0407	0.048	0.027
57	597	354.4544	138.6059	570.3029	0.0138	0.0174	0.0515	0.0343
58	581	341.8217	112.0977	571.5456	0.0206	0.0147	0.0664	0.0345
59	564	308.7295	64.2656	553.1935	0.0203	0.0145	0.0569	0.0242
60	564	283.5499	23.8714	543.2283	0.0171	0.0171	0.0496	0.0202

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
33	0.0119	0.0146	0	66.2439	0	0
34	0.0169	-0.0045	0.0096	5.9816	36.1128	6.0094
35	0.0235	0.0304	0.0165	242.4352	104.8869	10.2414
36	0.0314	0.0415	0.0228	413.242	181.9757	13.4898
37	0.0385	0.0795	0.0341	1434.2343	432.4274	20.7949
38	0.0437	0.0864	0.0428	1690.3553	642.0821	25.3393
39	0.051	0.0943	0.0502	1914.5566	823.8641	28.703
40	0.06	0.1039	0.0569	2152.209	989.9072	31.4628
41	0.0677	0.123	0.0642	2881.1162	1200.0416	34.6416
42	0.0767	0.1192	0.0697	2496.3896	1329.6764	36.4647
43	0.0859	0.172	0.079	4920.1382	1656.082	40.695
44	0.0822	0.1419	0.0843	4302.4199	1876.6101	43.3199
45	0.0943	0.159	0.09	5367.1445	2145.1128	46.3154
46	0.1081	0.1575	0.0948	4966.5935	2346.6471	48.4422
47	0.1296	0.2188	0.1031	8249.5368	2740.1731	52.3467
48	0.1525	0.2824	0.1143	12219.6605	3332.6411	57.729
49	0.1733	0.3746	0.1296	19770.1795	4299.5551	65.571
50	0.1872	0.4069	0.145	23321.2347	5356.3151	73.1869
51	0.2085	0.4649	0.1619	28615.1792	6580.4658	81.1201
52	0.2369	0.5576	0.1816	36819.2884	8092.4069	89.9578
53	0.2611	0.6158	0.2023	41887.8136	9701.712	98.4973
54	0.2914	0.6603	0.2231	43429.8662	11234.8099	105.9944
55	0.3206	0.7626	0.2466	53781.4143	13084.6623	114.3882
56	0.2883	0.6454	0.2632	53011.241	14748.2697	121.4425
57	0.3107	0.6843	0.2801	58828.3722	16511.4738	128.497
58	0.3429	0.6997	0.2962	57206.2805	18076.6587	134.4495
59	0.404	0.8268	0.3158	65163.0066	19820.5975	140.7856
60	0.4673	0.9891	0.3399	78652.2833	21921.7292	148.0599