Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[58])
46	852	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	649	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	629	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	685	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	617	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	715	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	715	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	629	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	916	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	531	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	357	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	917	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	828	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	708	695.5191	562.8443	828.1939	0.4269	0.0252	0.754	0.0252
60	858	675.5191	541.4206	809.6177	0.0038	0.3175	0.7517	0.0129
61	775	731.5191	596.0117	867.0266	0.2647	0.0337	0.7495	0.0814
62	785	663.5191	526.6174	800.4209	0.041	0.0552	0.7473	0.0093
63	1006	761.5191	623.2371	899.8012	3e-04	0.3696	0.7452	0.173
64	789	761.5191	621.8705	901.1678	0.3499	3e-04	0.7431	0.1754
65	734	675.5191	534.5171	816.5212	0.2081	0.0573	0.7411	0.017
66	906	962.5191	820.1766	1104.8617	0.2182	0.9992	0.7391	0.968
67	532	577.5191	433.8486	721.1897	0.2673	0	0.7372	3e-04
68	387	403.5191	258.5327	548.5055	0.4116	0.0412	0.7353	0
69	991	963.5191	817.2287	1109.8095	0.3564	1	0.7334	0.9653
70	841	874.5191	726.9363	1022.102	0.3281	0.0609	0.7316	0.7316

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
59	0.0973	0.0179	0.0015	155.7718	12.981	3.6029
60	0.1013	0.2701	0.0225	33299.2631	2774.9386	52.6777
61	0.0945	0.0594	0.005	1890.5849	157.5487	12.5518
62	0.1053	0.1831	0.0153	14757.5986	1229.7999	35.0685
63	0.0926	0.321	0.0268	59770.8893	4980.9074	70.5755
64	0.0936	0.0361	0.003	755.1975	62.9331	7.933
65	0.1065	0.0866	0.0072	3420.0106	285.0009	16.882
66	0.0755	-0.0587	0.0049	3194.4136	266.2011	16.3157
67	0.1269	-0.0788	0.0066	2071.9924	172.666	13.1402
68	0.1833	-0.0409	0.0034	272.8821	22.7402	4.7687
69	0.0775	0.0285	0.0024	755.1975	62.9331	7.933
70	0.0861	-0.0383	0.0032	1123.533	93.6277	9.6761