| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.2444 | -0.5581 | -0.1169 | -0.0755 | -0.9956 |
| (p-val) | (0.2746 ) | (0.0119 ) | (0.6367 ) | (0.765 ) | (0.4629 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.2436 | -0.5661 | -0.0664 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0.2677 ) | (0.0081 ) | (0.7205 ) | (NA ) | (0.1526 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.2369 | -0.5667 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0.2818 ) | (0.008 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0413 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | -0.708 | 0 | 0 | -0.9995 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.055 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | -0.6759 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -8.562588494131 |
| 221.642856091557 |
| -152.48274526826 |
| 295.631250866022 |
| 317.118100889547 |
| -272.065153300428 |
| -14.8911319732101 |
| 134.225573619448 |
| 131.486177290809 |
| -107.822113400649 |
| 104.741638059487 |
| 279.215487949002 |
| 496.186928352294 |
| -324.111248904754 |
| -298.562955901744 |
| -641.712675847783 |
| -24.8910851554117 |
| -531.786980093806 |
| 152.134386114004 |
| -121.429262659234 |
| -20.5827941224789 |
| -129.708384681747 |
| -153.062792958801 |
| -127.954891211699 |
| -272.138798428518 |
| -57.2895952084763 |
| -124.205153974969 |
| 21.2083131083458 |
| -284.818339608561 |
| 146.246868934219 |
| 280.030736090634 |
| -57.3677724459189 |
| -275.906476161225 |
| 190.158355560676 |
| 51.4573378554693 |
| -175.800101466085 |
| 86.0424180765638 |
| 147.446641495974 |
| -425.922352836852 |
| 535.10665827592 |
| -398.986716135688 |
| 8.57742619624186 |
| 118.765828913917 |
| 6.89595219366377 |
| 291.377902834559 |
| -324.472992242067 |
| -153.663488486180 |
| -49.5166719532124 |
| -531.768563328771 |
