Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[132])
131	362	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
132	405	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
133	417	412.5615	296.6706	528.4525	0.4701	0.5509	0.5509	0.5509
134	391	279.5435	-7.9956	567.0825	0.2237	0.1744	0.1744	0.1962
135	419	104.4862	-282.9123	491.8846	0.0558	0.0736	0.0736	0.0642
136	461	0	-402.383	402.383	0.0124	0.0206	0.0206	0.0243
137	472	0	-402.383	402.383	0.0107	0.0124	0.0124	0.0243
138	535	0	-402.383	402.383	0.0046	0.0107	0.0107	0.0243
139	622	0	-402.383	402.383	0.0012	0.0046	0.0046	0.0243
140	606	0	-402.383	402.383	0.0016	0.0012	0.0012	0.0243
141	508	0	-402.383	402.383	0.0067	0.0016	0.0016	0.0243
142	461	0	-402.383	402.383	0.0124	0.0067	0.0067	0.0243
143	390	0	-402.383	402.383	0.0287	0.0124	0.0124	0.0243
144	432	0	-402.383	402.383	0.0177	0.0287	0.0287	0.0243

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
133	0.1433	0.0108	0	19.6999	0	0
134	0.5248	0.3987	0.2047	12422.5558	6221.1278	78.8741
135	1.8917	3.0101	1.1399	98918.9606	37120.4054	192.6666
136	Inf	Inf	Inf	212521	80970.5541	284.5533
137	Inf	Inf	Inf	222784	109333.2433	330.6558
138	Inf	Inf	Inf	286225	138815.2027	372.5791
139	Inf	Inf	Inf	386884	174253.6023	417.4369
140	Inf	Inf	Inf	367236	198376.402	445.3947
141	Inf	Inf	Inf	258064	205008.3574	452.7785
142	Inf	Inf	Inf	212521	205759.6216	453.6073
143	Inf	Inf	Inf	152100	200881.4742	448.198
144	Inf	Inf	Inf	186624	199693.3514	446.8706