Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	172.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	184.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	177.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	184.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	211.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	215.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	215.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	244.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	259.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	289	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	310.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	321	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	315.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	333.2	313.7301	260.0462	395.345	0.32	0.4869	0.999	0.4869
50	314.1	313.7301	237.4065	462.3803	0.4981	0.3987	0.9636	0.4928
51	284.7	313.7301	223.2821	527.3519	0.395	0.4986	0.8819	0.495
52	273.9	313.7301	212.8191	596.6302	0.3913	0.5797	0.7608	0.4962
53	216	313.7301	204.4662	673.7989	0.2974	0.5858	0.7039	0.497
54	196.4	313.7301	197.5036	762.3654	0.3041	0.6653	0.6655	0.4976
55	190.9	313.7301	191.5324	866.6581	0.3316	0.6613	0.5967	0.4981
56	206.4	313.7301	186.3065	992.6468	0.3783	0.6386	0.5624	0.4984
57	196.3	313.7301	181.6626	1149.1678	0.3915	0.5994	0.5231	0.4987
58	199.5	313.7301	177.4862	1350.1384	0.4145	0.5879	0.5021	0.499
59	198.9	313.7301	173.694	1619.0257	0.4316	0.5681	0.4956	0.4992
60	214.4	313.7301	170.2233	1998.9165	0.454	0.5531	0.4994	0.4994

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.1327	0.0621	0	379.0764	0	0
50	0.2417	0.0012	0.0316	0.1368	189.6066	13.7698
51	0.3474	-0.0925	0.0519	842.7475	407.3203	20.1822
52	0.4601	-0.127	0.0707	1586.438	702.0997	26.4972
53	0.5856	-0.3115	0.1188	9551.1753	2471.9148	49.7184
54	0.7296	-0.374	0.1614	13766.3558	4354.3216	65.9873
55	0.8992	-0.3915	0.1942	15087.237	5887.5953	76.7307
56	1.1041	-0.3421	0.2127	11519.7535	6591.615	81.1888
57	1.3586	-0.3743	0.2307	13789.8318	7391.4169	85.9733
58	1.6855	-0.3641	0.244	13048.519	7957.1271	89.2027
59	2.1227	-0.366	0.2551	13185.9552	8432.4751	91.8285
60	2.7405	-0.3166	0.2602	9866.4716	8551.9748	92.4769