Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[32])
20	110.91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	111.22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	111.09	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	111	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	111.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	111.55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	112.32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	112.64	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	112.36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	112.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	112.37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	112.59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	112.89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	113.22	112.9449	112.4444	113.4454	0.1407	0.5851	1	0.5851
34	112.85	113.2105	112.4223	113.9986	0.185	0.4906	1	0.7873
35	113.06	113.0822	112.0689	114.0954	0.4829	0.6733	1	0.6449
36	112.99	113.453	112.2883	114.6177	0.218	0.7458	1	0.8283
37	113.32	113.5706	112.2104	114.9309	0.359	0.7986	0.9982	0.8366
38	113.74	114.2516	112.7793	115.7239	0.2479	0.8925	0.9949	0.9651
39	113.91	114.4501	112.8166	116.0836	0.2585	0.8029	0.9851	0.9694
40	114.52	114.5575	112.8201	116.2948	0.4831	0.7674	0.9934	0.97
41	114.96	114.4934	112.6146	116.3723	0.3132	0.489	0.9948	0.9528
42	114.91	114.9712	112.9901	116.9522	0.4759	0.5044	0.995	0.9803
43	115.3	115.0684	112.9608	117.176	0.4147	0.5586	0.9894	0.9786
44	115.44	115.355	113.1453	117.5646	0.4699	0.5194	0.9856	0.9856
45	115.52	115.4543	112.9984	117.9101	0.4791	0.5045	0.9627	0.9796
46	116.08	115.7151	113.0189	118.4114	0.3954	0.5564	0.9814	0.98
47	115.94	115.824	112.8844	118.7636	0.4692	0.4322	0.9673	0.9748
48	115.56	116.0689	112.9251	119.2127	0.3755	0.532	0.9725	0.9763
49	115.88	116.1963	112.8212	119.5714	0.4271	0.6441	0.9526	0.9726
50	116.66	116.4217	112.8576	119.9858	0.4479	0.6171	0.9299	0.9739
51	117.41	116.5674	112.7862	120.3487	0.3311	0.4809	0.9158	0.9717
52	117.68	116.7758	112.8119	120.7397	0.3274	0.3769	0.8677	0.9727
53	117.85	116.9361	112.768	121.1042	0.3337	0.3632	0.8236	0.9715
54	118.21	117.1319	112.7841	121.4796	0.3135	0.3731	0.8417	0.9721
55	118.92	117.3023	112.7607	121.8438	0.2425	0.3476	0.8062	0.9716
56	119.03	117.4897	112.7703	122.2091	0.2612	0.2763	0.8027	0.972
57	119.17	117.6662	112.7611	122.5714	0.274	0.2929	0.8044	0.9718
58	118.95	117.8488	112.7673	122.9302	0.3355	0.3052	0.7525	0.9721
59	118.92	118.0285	112.7672	123.2899	0.3699	0.3657	0.7817	0.9722
60	118.9	118.2086	112.7726	123.6446	0.4016	0.3988	0.8302	0.9724

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
33	0.0023	0.0024	0	0.0757	0	0
34	0.0036	-0.0032	0.0028	0.13	0.1028	0.3206
35	0.0046	-2e-04	0.0019	5e-04	0.0687	0.2621
36	0.0052	-0.0041	0.0025	0.2143	0.1051	0.3242
37	0.0061	-0.0022	0.0024	0.0628	0.0967	0.3109
38	0.0066	-0.0045	0.0028	0.2617	0.1242	0.3524
39	0.0073	-0.0047	0.003	0.2917	0.1481	0.3848
40	0.0077	-3e-04	0.0027	0.0014	0.1298	0.3602
41	0.0084	0.0041	0.0029	0.2177	0.1395	0.3735
42	0.0088	-5e-04	0.0026	0.0037	0.126	0.3549
43	0.0093	0.002	0.0026	0.0536	0.1194	0.3455
44	0.0098	7e-04	0.0024	0.0072	0.11	0.3317
45	0.0109	6e-04	0.0023	0.0043	0.1019	0.3192
46	0.0119	0.0032	0.0023	0.1331	0.1041	0.3227
47	0.0129	0.001	0.0022	0.0135	0.0981	0.3132
48	0.0138	-0.0044	0.0024	0.259	0.1081	0.3289
49	0.0148	-0.0027	0.0024	0.1	0.1077	0.3281
50	0.0156	0.002	0.0024	0.0568	0.1048	0.3238
51	0.0166	0.0072	0.0026	0.7099	0.1367	0.3697
52	0.0173	0.0077	0.0029	0.8176	0.1707	0.4132
53	0.0182	0.0078	0.0031	0.8351	0.2024	0.4499
54	0.0189	0.0092	0.0034	1.1623	0.246	0.496
55	0.0198	0.0138	0.0039	2.6171	0.3491	0.5908
56	0.0205	0.0131	0.0042	2.3725	0.4334	0.6583
57	0.0213	0.0128	0.0046	2.2614	0.5065	0.7117
58	0.022	0.0093	0.0048	1.2127	0.5337	0.7305
59	0.0227	0.0076	0.0049	0.7947	0.5434	0.7371
60	0.0235	0.0058	0.0049	0.4781	0.541	0.7355