Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	1.51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	2.24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	2.94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	3.09	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	3.46	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	3.64	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	4.39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	4.15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	5.21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	5.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	5.91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	5.39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	5.46	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	4.72	5.1987	4.4963	5.9012	0.0908	0.233	1	0.233
50	3.14	4.9482	3.9548	5.9416	2e-04	0.6737	1	0.1563
51	2.63	4.8945	3.6779	6.1112	1e-04	0.9976	0.9982	0.1812
52	2.32	4.7621	3.3572	6.167	3e-04	0.9985	0.9654	0.1651
53	1.93	4.6977	3.127	6.2684	3e-04	0.9985	0.9066	0.1707
54	0.62	4.4293	2.7087	6.1499	0	0.9978	0.5178	0.1202
55	0.6	4.5152	2.6567	6.3736	0	1	0.6499	0.1595
56	-0.37	4.1358	2.149	6.1226	0	0.9998	0.1446	0.0957
57	-1.1	3.9246	1.8173	6.0319	0	1	0.0406	0.0766
58	-1.68	3.8853	1.664	6.1065	0	1	0.037	0.0823
59	-0.78	4.0714	1.7417	6.4011	0	1	0.1336	0.1213
60	-1.19	4.0463	1.613	6.4796	0	0.9999	0.1274	0.1274

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0689	-0.0921	0	0.2292	0	0
50	0.1024	-0.3654	0.2288	3.2696	1.7494	1.3227
51	0.1268	-0.4627	0.3067	5.1281	2.8756	1.6958
52	0.1505	-0.5128	0.3583	5.9639	3.6477	1.9099
53	0.1706	-0.5892	0.4044	7.6601	4.4502	2.1095
54	0.1982	-0.86	0.4804	14.5105	6.1269	2.4753
55	0.21	-0.8671	0.5356	15.3285	7.4414	2.7279
56	0.2451	-1.0895	0.6048	20.3022	9.049	3.0082
57	0.2739	-1.2803	0.6799	25.247	10.8488	3.2937
58	0.2917	-1.4324	0.7551	30.9722	12.8611	3.5862
59	0.2919	-1.1916	0.7948	23.5358	13.8315	3.7191
60	0.3068	-1.2941	0.8364	27.419	14.9638	3.8683