Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	250.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	265.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	287.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	283.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	295.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	312.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	333.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	347.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	383.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	407.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	413.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	362.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	321.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	239.4	281.1	249.0465	313.1535	0.0054	0.0063	0.8268	0.0063
50	191	240.3	168.6261	311.9739	0.0888	0.5098	0.0979	0.0128
51	159.7	199.5	79.5666	319.4334	0.2577	0.5552	0.0854	0.0227
52	163.4	158.7	-16.8645	334.2645	0.4791	0.4955	0.0635	0.0342
53	157.6	117.9	-119.8154	355.6154	0.3717	0.3538	0.0545	0.0463
54	166.2	77.1	-228.6713	382.8713	0.284	0.3029	0.0499	0.0583
55	176.7	36.3	-342.9626	415.5626	0.234	0.251	0.0538	0.07
56	198.3	-4.5	-462.3161	453.3161	0.1926	0.2189	0.0485	0.0811
57	226.2	-45.3	-586.426	495.826	0.1627	0.1888	0.0506	0.0918
58	216.2	-86.1	-715.0358	542.8358	0.1731	0.1652	0.0597	0.1018
59	235.9	-126.9	-847.9265	594.1265	0.162	0.1755	0.0916	0.1112
60	226.9	-167.7	-984.9081	649.5081	0.172	0.1665	0.1201	0.1201

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0582	-0.1483	0.0124	1738.89	144.9075	12.0378
50	0.1522	-0.2052	0.0171	2430.49	202.5408	14.2317
51	0.3067	-0.1995	0.0166	1584.04	132.0033	11.4893
52	0.5644	0.0296	0.0025	22.09	1.8408	1.3568
53	1.0287	0.3367	0.0281	1576.09	131.3408	11.4604
54	2.0234	1.1556	0.0963	7938.81	661.5675	25.721
55	5.3306	3.8678	0.3223	19712.16	1642.68	40.53
56	-51.9066	-45.0667	3.7556	41127.84	3427.32	58.5433
57	-6.0946	-5.9934	0.4994	73712.25	6142.6875	78.3753
58	-3.7269	-3.511	0.2926	91385.29	7615.4408	87.2665
59	-2.8989	-2.8589	0.2382	131623.84	10968.6533	104.7313
60	-2.4862	-2.353	0.1961	155709.16	12975.7633	113.9112