Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	112.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	114.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	121.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	131.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	125	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	120.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	117.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	117.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	120.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	127.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	112.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	124.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	115.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	104.7	111.5423	101.5403	121.5442	0.09	0.2368	0.3012	0.2368
50	130.9	121.8307	111.8283	131.8331	0.0378	0.9996	0.5569	0.9031
51	129.2	127.5787	117.4674	137.69	0.3767	0.2598	0.2178	0.9918
52	113.5	122.422	111.8993	132.9448	0.0483	0.1034	0.3155	0.9107
53	125.6	119.3058	108.7794	129.8321	0.1206	0.8602	0.4193	0.7777
54	107.6	115.9676	105.4061	126.5291	0.0602	0.0369	0.3739	0.5566
55	107	116.8097	106.2107	127.4086	0.0348	0.9557	0.4492	0.617
56	121.6	121.7234	111.1223	132.3245	0.4909	0.9968	0.5823	0.8861
57	110.7	125.4457	114.8377	136.0537	0.0032	0.7613	0.3521	0.9708
58	106.3	113.4964	102.8844	124.1085	0.0919	0.6972	0.5874	0.3765
59	118.6	123.3605	112.7478	133.9733	0.1896	0.9992	0.4167	0.9341
60	104.6	110.4464	99.8326	121.0603	0.1402	0.0661	0.19	0.19

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0457	-0.0613	0	46.8166	0	0
50	0.0419	0.0744	0.0679	82.2522	64.5344	8.0333
51	0.0404	0.0127	0.0495	2.6287	43.8992	6.6256
52	0.0439	-0.0729	0.0553	79.6026	52.825	7.2681
53	0.045	0.0528	0.0548	39.6173	50.1835	7.084
54	0.0465	-0.0722	0.0577	70.0167	53.489	7.3136
55	0.0463	-0.084	0.0615	96.2293	59.5948	7.7198
56	0.0444	-0.001	0.0539	0.0152	52.1473	7.2213
57	0.0431	-0.1175	0.061	217.4358	70.5127	8.3972
58	0.0477	-0.0634	0.0612	51.7885	68.6403	8.2849
59	0.0439	-0.0386	0.0592	22.6627	64.4605	8.0287
60	0.049	-0.0529	0.0586	34.1807	61.9372	7.87