Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[33])
21	108.41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	109.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	111.45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	112.18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	113.34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	113.46	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	114.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	115.54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	116.39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	115.94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	116.97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	115.94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	115.91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	116.43	116.2968	114.8699	117.7237	0.4274	0.7024	1	0.7024
35	116.26	116.4415	114.533	118.3501	0.4261	0.5047	1	0.7074
36	116.35	116.4104	113.8892	118.9315	0.4813	0.5465	0.9995	0.6514
37	117.9	116.8396	113.5743	120.105	0.2622	0.6156	0.9822	0.7116
38	117.7	116.8459	112.9927	120.6991	0.332	0.2959	0.9575	0.683
39	117.53	116.9182	112.4364	121.4	0.3945	0.3662	0.8943	0.6704
40	117.86	117.5532	112.4642	122.6421	0.453	0.5036	0.7809	0.7366
41	117.65	117.6737	112.0225	123.3248	0.4967	0.4742	0.6719	0.7296
42	116.51	117.5104	111.3031	123.7178	0.376	0.4824	0.69	0.6933
43	115.93	117.7831	111.0492	124.5169	0.2948	0.6445	0.5935	0.7072
44	115.31	117.5268	110.2907	124.7629	0.2741	0.6673	0.6663	0.6693
45	115	117.8127	110.0928	125.5327	0.2376	0.7374	0.6855	0.6855

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
34	0.0063	0.0011	0	0.0177	0	0
35	0.0084	-0.0016	0.0014	0.033	0.0254	0.1592
36	0.011	-5e-04	0.0011	0.0036	0.0181	0.1346
37	0.0143	0.0091	0.0031	1.1244	0.2947	0.5428
38	0.0168	0.0073	0.0039	0.7294	0.3816	0.6178
39	0.0196	0.0052	0.0041	0.3743	0.3804	0.6168
40	0.0221	0.0026	0.0039	0.0942	0.3395	0.5827
41	0.0245	-2e-04	0.0035	6e-04	0.2971	0.5451
42	0.027	-0.0085	0.004	1.0009	0.3753	0.6126
43	0.0292	-0.0157	0.0052	3.4338	0.6812	0.8253
44	0.0314	-0.0189	0.0064	4.9141	1.066	1.0325
45	0.0334	-0.0239	0.0079	7.9115	1.6364	1.2792