Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[32])
20	9434	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	9655	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	9429	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	8739	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	9552	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	9687	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	9019	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	9672	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	9206	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	9069	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	9788	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	10312	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	10105	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	9863	9774.8733	9278.0804	10271.6663	0.364	0.0964	0.6819	0.0964
34	9656	9624.6133	9123.1145	10126.1121	0.4512	0.1758	0.7777	0.0302
35	9295	9188.3044	8657.1873	9719.4216	0.3469	0.0422	0.9513	4e-04
36	9946	9551.4296	9015.8362	10087.0229	0.0744	0.826	0.4992	0.0214
37	9701	9944.5621	9407.477	10481.6471	0.187	0.4979	0.8264	0.2791
38	9049	9315.6811	8751.1442	9880.218	0.1773	0.0905	0.8485	0.0031
39	10190	9595.6921	9030.0307	10161.3535	0.0197	0.9709	0.3957	0.0388
40	9706	9671.6631	9100.9931	10242.333	0.4531	0.0375	0.9451	0.0683
41	9765	9336.7522	8745.6602	9927.8442	0.0778	0.1104	0.8127	0.0054
42	9893	9832.3609	9240.9762	10423.7456	0.4204	0.5883	0.5584	0.1831
43	9994	10739.2394	10134.8508	11343.628	0.0078	0.997	0.9171	0.9801
44	10433	10145.6214	9530.3035	10760.9394	0.18	0.6854	0.5515	0.5515
45	10073	9961.1043	9202.7473	10719.4614	0.3862	0.1113	0.6001	0.355
46	10112	9994.4769	9206.3698	10782.5841	0.385	0.4226	0.8	0.3917
47	9266	9219.1557	8399.9365	10038.3749	0.4554	0.0163	0.428	0.017
48	9820	9863.2784	9035.3699	10691.1869	0.4592	0.9213	0.4224	0.2836
49	10097	10273.259	9422.3833	11124.1347	0.3424	0.8518	0.9063	0.6508
50	9115	9392.4334	8520.784	10264.0828	0.2664	0.0566	0.78	0.0545
51	10411	10033.0744	9152.9528	10913.1959	0.2	0.9795	0.3634	0.4364
52	9678	9818.8038	8912.5358	10725.0718	0.3804	0.1001	0.5964	0.268
53	10408	9411.445	8491.2248	10331.6653	0.0169	0.2851	0.2257	0.0698
54	10153	10251.4296	9320.5449	11182.3144	0.4179	0.3708	0.7748	0.6211
55	10368	10849.7482	9893.3035	11806.193	0.1618	0.9233	0.9603	0.9365
56	10581	10396.3421	9430.1458	11362.5383	0.354	0.5229	0.4704	0.7227
57	10597	10318.6815	9158.6181	11478.7448	0.3191	0.3288	0.661	0.641
58	10680	10078.7364	8886.1099	11271.3629	0.1615	0.1972	0.4782	0.4828
59	9738	9526.7689	8298.6112	10754.9266	0.368	0.0329	0.6614	0.1781
60	9556	10132.7622	8875.3722	11390.1523	0.1843	0.7308	0.6871	0.5173

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
33	0.0259	0.009	0	7766.3105	0	0
34	0.0266	0.0033	0.0061	985.1247	4375.7176	66.1492
35	0.0295	0.0116	0.008	11383.9497	6711.795	81.9255
36	0.0286	0.0413	0.0163	155685.8178	43955.3007	209.6552
37	0.0276	-0.0245	0.0179	59322.4837	47028.7373	216.8611
38	0.0309	-0.0286	0.0197	71118.8065	51043.7488	225.9286
39	0.0301	0.0619	0.0258	353201.8846	94209.1968	306.9352
40	0.0301	0.0036	0.023	1179.025	82580.4253	287.3681
41	0.0323	0.0459	0.0255	183396.1684	93782.1745	306.2388
42	0.0307	0.0062	0.0236	3677.1052	84771.6676	291.1557
43	0.0287	-0.0694	0.0277	555381.7081	127554.3986	357.1476
44	0.0309	0.0283	0.0278	82586.4327	123807.0681	351.8623
45	0.0388	0.0112	0.0265	12520.643	115246.5738	339.4799
46	0.0402	0.0118	0.0255	13811.6729	108001.2238	328.6354
47	0.0453	0.0051	0.0241	2194.3888	100947.4348	317.7223
48	0.0428	-0.0044	0.0229	1873.0194	94755.2838	307.8235
49	0.0423	-0.0172	0.0225	31067.2397	91008.9283	301.6769
50	0.0473	-0.0295	0.0229	76969.2956	90228.9487	300.3813
51	0.0448	0.0377	0.0237	142827.7725	92997.3078	304.9546
52	0.0471	-0.0143	0.0232	19825.717	89338.7283	298.8958
53	0.0499	0.1059	0.0272	993121.7705	132376.016	363.8351
54	0.0463	-0.0096	0.0264	9688.39	126799.3057	356.0889
55	0.045	-0.0444	0.0272	232081.3685	131376.7867	362.4594
56	0.0474	0.0178	0.0268	34098.5523	127323.527	356.8242
57	0.0574	0.027	0.0268	77461.1936	125329.0336	354.0184
58	0.0604	0.0597	0.028	361517.9183	134413.2215	366.6241
59	0.0658	0.0222	0.0278	44618.5779	131087.494	362.0601
60	0.0633	-0.0569	0.0289	332654.6791	138286.322	371.8687