Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[37])
25	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	107.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	104.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	102.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	77.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	85.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	91.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	106.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	92.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	97.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	107	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	51.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	98.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	102.2	98.6	49.7786	147.4214	0.4425	0.5	0.3665	0.5
39	114.3	98.6	29.5561	167.6439	0.3279	0.4593	0.4301	0.5
40	99.4	98.6	14.0389	183.1611	0.4926	0.358	0.464	0.5
41	72.5	98.6	0.9572	196.2428	0.3002	0.4936	0.6626	0.5
42	92.3	98.6	-10.5679	207.7679	0.455	0.6803	0.5951	0.5
43	99.4	98.6	-20.9875	218.1875	0.4948	0.5411	0.5476	0.5
44	85.9	98.6	-30.5693	227.7693	0.4236	0.4952	0.4523	0.5
45	109.4	98.6	-39.4877	236.6877	0.4391	0.5715	0.5351	0.5
46	97.6	98.6	-47.8642	245.0642	0.4947	0.4425	0.5059	0.5
47	104.7	98.6	-55.7868	252.9868	0.4691	0.5051	0.4575	0.5
48	56.9	98.6	-63.3222	260.5222	0.3069	0.4706	0.7173	0.5
49	86.7	98.6	-70.5223	267.7223	0.4452	0.6855	0.5	0.5
50	108.5	98.6	-77.428	274.628	0.4561	0.5527	0.484	0.5
51	103.4	98.6	-84.0729	281.2729	0.4795	0.4577	0.4331	0.5
52	86.2	98.6	-90.4844	287.6844	0.4489	0.4802	0.4967	0.5
53	71	98.6	-96.6856	293.8856	0.3909	0.5495	0.6033	0.5
54	75.9	98.6	-102.6958	299.8958	0.4125	0.6059	0.5245	0.5
55	87.1	98.6	-108.5316	305.7316	0.4567	0.585	0.497	0.5
56	102	98.6	-114.2075	311.4075	0.4875	0.5422	0.5466	0.5
57	88.5	98.6	-119.7359	316.9359	0.4639	0.4878	0.4614	0.5
58	87.8	98.6	-125.1277	322.3277	0.4623	0.5353	0.5035	0.5
59	100.8	98.6	-130.3926	327.5926	0.4925	0.5368	0.4792	0.5
60	50.6	98.6	-135.5392	332.7392	0.3439	0.4927	0.6365	0.5
61	85.9	98.6	-140.575	337.775	0.4586	0.653	0.5388	0.5

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
38	0.2526	0.0365	0	12.96	0	0
39	0.3573	0.1592	0.0979	246.49	129.725	11.3897
40	0.4376	0.0081	0.068	0.64	86.6967	9.3111
41	0.5053	-0.2647	0.1171	681.21	235.325	15.3403
42	0.5649	-0.0639	0.1065	39.69	196.198	14.0071
43	0.6188	0.0081	0.0901	0.64	163.605	12.7908
44	0.6684	-0.1288	0.0956	161.29	163.2743	12.7779
45	0.7145	0.1095	0.0974	116.64	157.445	12.5477
46	0.7579	-0.0101	0.0877	1	140.0622	11.8348
47	0.7989	0.0619	0.0851	37.21	129.777	11.392
48	0.8379	-0.4229	0.1158	1738.89	276.06	16.6151
49	0.8751	-0.1207	0.1162	141.61	264.8558	16.2744
50	0.9109	0.1004	0.115	98.01	252.0215	15.8752
51	0.9452	0.0487	0.1103	23.04	235.6657	15.3514
52	0.9784	-0.1258	0.1113	153.76	230.2053	15.1725
53	1.0105	-0.2799	0.1218	761.76	263.4275	16.2304
54	1.0416	-0.2302	0.1282	515.29	278.2429	16.6806
55	1.0718	-0.1166	0.1276	132.25	270.1322	16.4357
56	1.1012	0.0345	0.1227	11.56	256.5232	16.0163
57	1.1298	-0.1024	0.1217	102.01	248.7975	15.7733
58	1.1577	-0.1095	0.1211	116.64	242.5043	15.5725
59	1.1849	0.0223	0.1166	4.84	231.7014	15.2217
60	1.2115	-0.4868	0.1327	2304	321.8013	17.9388
61	1.2376	-0.1288	0.1325	161.29	315.1133	17.7514