| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.643 | -0.272 | 0.1326 | -0.6549 |
| (p-val) | (0.075 ) | (0.5076 ) | (0.6413 ) | (0.0373 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.8024 | -0.4593 | 0 | -0.5089 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0061 ) | (NA ) | (0.013 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -0.285296993290146 |
| -0.551236020984375 |
| -5.35467131108945 |
| 1.57054825749352 |
| -0.396549104791096 |
| 7.52339669301512 |
| 3.54228369608861 |
| 14.9810515772999 |
| -9.8984397123227 |
| 1.47149418816715 |
| -5.56769035696134 |
| 1.59696553132308 |
| -2.66868458525545 |
| -0.138890310708156 |
| 7.5403360045589 |
| 10.903741005175 |
| 2.25818181992298 |
| 2.85046279216148 |
| 3.18671166996658 |
| 0.221949815513431 |
| -3.08541852354687 |
| -7.92641323961187 |
| -5.32877646063035 |
| 1.92057058792853 |
| 4.28885182149496 |
| -6.75207738866693 |
| 2.67742109786994 |
| -3.93268495267328 |
| -7.60064413584684 |
| 0.63557520650713 |
| 10.4248586920594 |
| -17.6062493848031 |
| 6.25715564676813 |
| 3.43556231868971 |
| 3.01601575254889 |
| -1.05113947196718 |
| -11.5915462335657 |
| 1.74946158143908 |
| -10.2402324439148 |
| -12.7679935012496 |
| -5.23205467212966 |
| -9.14781768904595 |
| -7.98401520785145 |
| 20.2035573513505 |
| -2.4172468417472 |
| -7.09309469371335 |
| -5.43757136373465 |
| 5.7587416247628 |
| 7.86058043216586 |
