| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -1.1623 | -0.9186 | -0.2958 | -0.9509 | -0.695 | -0.7952 | 0.7294 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0538 ) | (0 ) | (1e-04 ) | (0 ) | (0.1228 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -1.1585 | -0.9539 | -0.3243 | -0.9899 | -0.5204 | -0.7085 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.029 ) | (0 ) | (0.0037 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.159338517816290 |
| -1.39324927464152 |
| 5.11560595727295 |
| 0.616869917617727 |
| -0.00154657010340902 |
| -3.52518196848311 |
| -3.54128815423143 |
| -1.66992983025843 |
| -0.522727141278924 |
| 0.368100282176657 |
| -0.40943296581823 |
| 1.93844828036895 |
| 0.360359271991096 |
| 3.31272509400123 |
| -5.86944768939124 |
| -0.647182882752433 |
| -1.96490282602726 |
| 1.07392055726848 |
| 0.687225694183018 |
| -1.62943908165560 |
| 2.28392289475725 |
| 0.46473862533828 |
| -1.80394918264662 |
| 1.76293002956191 |
| -0.429128563785980 |
| -2.31385207136931 |
| 0.410242515105118 |
| 2.6352094339675 |
| 0.410090832112108 |
| -2.96439409698839 |
| -2.15365968091162 |
| -2.26605759464479 |
| 2.37444757149098 |
| 0.117294534413882 |
| -3.31657149930649 |
| -0.47796365852203 |
| 2.85314248138162 |
| -3.42710944444087 |
| 2.59439945532748 |
| -0.644188147404221 |
| -0.709392370563125 |
| -1.09904478001966 |
| -3.51683997768042 |
| 1.69588021819216 |
| 1.98764967589824 |
| -4.21274162202382 |
| -3.05976156663718 |
