Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	105.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	124.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	116.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	107.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	115.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	116.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	116.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	111.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	118.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	106.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	103.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	118.6	117.4463	110.6064	124.2862	0.3705	1	0.7583	1
50	118.7	124.6839	117.7423	131.6256	0.0456	0.9571	0.5655	1
51	102.8	116.3499	108.9864	123.7134	2e-04	0.2658	0.4523	0.9998
52	100.6	110.2785	101.9695	118.5874	0.0112	0.9611	0.7439	0.9525
53	94.9	115.3924	107.0764	123.7084	0	0.9998	0.4805	0.998
54	94.5	114.2397	105.4947	122.9848	0	1	0.3302	0.9933
55	102.9	118.3207	109.1731	127.4683	5e-04	1	0.6675	0.9994
56	95.3	117.6983	108.4628	126.9338	0	0.9992	0.3912	0.999
57	92.5	112.1617	102.5769	121.7466	0	0.9997	0.5213	0.9666
58	102.7	120.7066	110.865	130.5481	2e-04	1	0.6626	0.9998
59	91.5	106.3165	96.3171	116.316	0.0018	0.7608	0.4545	0.7294
60	89.5	104.0912	93.8237	114.3587	0.0027	0.9919	0.5675	0.5675

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0297	0.0098	0	1.3311	0	0
50	0.0284	-0.048	0.0289	35.8075	18.5693	4.3092
51	0.0323	-0.1165	0.0581	183.5991	73.5792	8.5778
52	0.0384	-0.0878	0.0655	93.6731	78.6027	8.8658
53	0.0368	-0.1776	0.0879	419.9388	146.8699	12.119
54	0.0391	-0.1728	0.1021	389.6574	187.3345	13.687
55	0.0394	-0.1303	0.1061	237.7989	194.5437	13.9479
56	0.04	-0.1903	0.1166	501.6845	232.9363	15.2623
57	0.0436	-0.1753	0.1231	386.5829	250.0081	15.8116
58	0.0416	-0.1492	0.1258	324.2364	257.431	16.0447
59	0.048	-0.1394	0.127	219.5291	253.9853	15.9369
60	0.0503	-0.1402	0.1281	212.9024	250.5618	15.8291