Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[44])
32	8.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	8.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	8.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	8.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	8.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	8.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	8.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	8.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	8.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	8.1	8.2279	7.9436	8.5122	0.189	0.811	6e-04	0.811
46	8	8.468	8.0239	8.9122	0.0194	0.9478	0.4439	0.9478
47	7.9	8.6764	8.1788	9.174	0.0011	0.9961	0.8618	0.9884
48	7.9	8.6959	8.2018	9.19	8e-04	0.9992	0.7815	0.991
49	8	8.8064	8.2896	9.3233	0.0011	0.9997	0.6567	0.9963
50	8	8.6642	8.1064	9.222	0.0098	0.9902	0.4499	0.9763
51	7.9	8.4769	7.9088	9.045	0.0233	0.9501	0.3355	0.9033
52	8	8.3083	7.7361	8.8805	0.1455	0.919	0.2557	0.7623
53	7.7	8.134	7.5219	8.7462	0.0823	0.6661	0.2976	0.5434
54	7.2	8.0671	7.4052	8.7289	0.0051	0.8615	0.5787	0.4611
55	7.5	8.271	7.5893	8.9526	0.0133	0.999	0.5809	0.6885
56	7.3	8.253	7.572	8.9339	0.003	0.9849	0.6701	0.6701
57	7	8.3697	7.6485	9.091	1e-04	0.9982	0.7682	0.7682
58	7	8.4952	7.7208	9.2696	1e-04	0.9999	0.8949	0.8414
59	7	8.5697	7.7644	9.375	1e-04	0.9999	0.9484	0.8735
60	7.2	8.5228	7.7134	9.3323	7e-04	0.9999	0.9342	0.847
61	7.3	8.5306	7.7208	9.3404	0.0014	0.9994	0.9005	0.8513
62	7.1	8.4466	7.6335	9.2597	6e-04	0.9971	0.8592	0.7983
63	6.8	8.3868	7.5738	9.1997	1e-04	0.999	0.8797	0.7553
64	6.4	8.3527	7.5342	9.1712	0	0.9999	0.8009	0.7275
65	6.1	8.3158	7.4728	9.1588	0	1	0.9239	0.6921
66	6.5	8.2943	7.4202	9.1683	0	1	0.9929	0.6685
67	7.7	8.3689	7.4761	9.2617	0.071	1	0.9718	0.7225
68	7.9	8.3158	7.4195	9.2121	0.1816	0.9109	0.9868	0.6815
69	7.5	8.3356	7.4252	9.246	0.036	0.8258	0.998	0.694
70	6.9	8.382	7.4568	9.3072	8e-04	0.9691	0.9983	0.7249
71	6.6	8.4395	7.5028	9.3763	1e-04	0.9994	0.9987	0.7613
72	6.9	8.4541	7.5117	9.3966	6e-04	0.9999	0.9954	0.7693

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
45	0.0176	-0.0155	0	0.0164	0	0
46	0.0268	-0.0553	0.0354	0.219	0.1177	0.3431
47	0.0293	-0.0895	0.0534	0.6028	0.2794	0.5286
48	0.029	-0.0915	0.063	0.6335	0.3679	0.6066
49	0.0299	-0.0916	0.0687	0.6503	0.4244	0.6515
50	0.0328	-0.0767	0.07	0.4411	0.4272	0.6536
51	0.0342	-0.0681	0.0697	0.3328	0.4137	0.6432
52	0.0351	-0.0371	0.0657	0.0951	0.3739	0.6114
53	0.0384	-0.0534	0.0643	0.1884	0.3533	0.5944
54	0.0419	-0.1075	0.0686	0.7518	0.3931	0.627
55	0.042	-0.0932	0.0708	0.5944	0.4114	0.6414
56	0.0421	-0.1155	0.0746	0.9081	0.4528	0.6729
57	0.044	-0.1637	0.0814	1.8762	0.5623	0.7499
58	0.0465	-0.176	0.0882	2.2356	0.6818	0.8257
59	0.0479	-0.1832	0.0945	2.4639	0.8006	0.8948
60	0.0485	-0.1552	0.0983	1.7499	0.86	0.9273
61	0.0484	-0.1443	0.101	1.5143	0.8984	0.9479
62	0.0491	-0.1594	0.1042	1.8133	0.9493	0.9743
63	0.0495	-0.1892	0.1087	2.5179	1.0318	1.0158
64	0.05	-0.2338	0.115	3.8131	1.1709	1.0821
65	0.0517	-0.2665	0.1222	4.9098	1.3489	1.1614
66	0.0538	-0.2163	0.1265	3.2194	1.434	1.1975
67	0.0544	-0.0799	0.1244	0.4474	1.3911	1.1794
68	0.055	-0.05	0.1213	0.1729	1.3403	1.1577
69	0.0557	-0.1002	0.1205	0.6982	1.3146	1.1466
70	0.0563	-0.1768	0.1227	2.1963	1.3485	1.1613
71	0.0566	-0.218	0.1262	3.3839	1.4239	1.1933
72	0.0569	-0.1838	0.1283	2.4153	1.4593	1.208