Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
48	10443	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	10357	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	8586	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	8892	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	8329	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	8101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	7922	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	8120	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	7838	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	7735	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	8406	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	8209	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	9451	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	10041	9677.7426	8754.8498	10600.6353	0.2202	0.6849	0.0746	0.6849
62	9411	8102.9693	7004.1293	9201.8093	0.0098	3e-04	0.1945	0.0081
63	10405	8532.0895	7365.7731	9698.4059	8e-04	0.0698	0.2726	0.0613
64	8467	8046.3398	6851.1409	9241.5388	0.2451	1e-04	0.3215	0.0106
65	8464	7866.8097	6658.3423	9075.277	0.1664	0.1652	0.352	0.0051
66	8102	7718.2215	6503.268	8933.1751	0.2679	0.1145	0.3712	0.0026
67	7627	7935.3031	6716.9908	9153.6154	0.3099	0.3943	0.3832	0.0074
68	7513	7665.2756	6445.1331	8885.4181	0.4034	0.5245	0.3907	0.0021
69	7510	7569.7876	6348.6054	8790.9698	0.4618	0.5363	0.3954	0.0013
70	8291	8245.5009	7023.7091	9467.2928	0.4709	0.881	0.3984	0.0266
71	8064	8051.4582	6829.3006	9273.6159	0.492	0.3504	0.4003	0.0124
72	9383	9295.3138	8072.9332	10517.6944	0.4441	0.9758	0.4014	0.4014

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.0487	0.0375	0	131955.9741	0	0
62	0.0692	0.1614	0.0995	1710944.391	921450.1825	959.922
63	0.0697	0.2195	0.1395	3507793.8584	1783564.7412	1335.5017
64	0.0758	0.0523	0.1177	176954.9853	1381912.3022	1175.5477
65	0.0784	0.0759	0.1093	356636.2924	1176857.1002	1084.8304
66	0.0803	0.0497	0.0994	147285.9248	1005261.9043	1002.6275
67	0.0783	-0.0389	0.0907	95050.7893	875231.745	935.5382
68	0.0812	-0.0199	0.0819	23187.8548	768726.2588	876.7704
69	0.0823	-0.0079	0.0737	3574.5572	683709.403	826.8672
70	0.0756	0.0055	0.0669	2070.1656	615545.4793	784.5671
71	0.0774	0.0016	0.0609	157.2955	559601.099	748.0649
72	0.0671	0.0094	0.0566	7688.8719	513608.4134	716.6648