| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.0587 | -0.1014 | 0.1563 | -0.7518 | -0.9161 |
| (p-val) | (0.7736 ) | (0.5142 ) | (0.2875 ) | (0 ) | (0.0077 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | -0.1317 | 0.1282 | -1.4152 | -1.1026 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.2658 ) | (0.2421 ) | (0 ) | (0.0033 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.1527 | -1.3143 | -1.0526 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.1674 ) | (0 ) | (0.0943 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.729 | -0.9916 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.2374 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3177 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -0.365241700883491 |
| -2.55781256731016 |
| 6.53018718238126 |
| 9.96073321891981 |
| -2.85167993581617 |
| -3.00690803525539 |
| 3.74995276148235 |
| -7.90663401577889 |
| -2.70532534545717 |
| 6.33356774781542 |
| 4.80813093286882 |
| -3.5573164908859 |
| -9.75064536544949 |
| 4.72942513200285 |
| -11.5465879962313 |
| 5.96042154592227 |
| -3.68538471314214 |
| 14.8652727332249 |
| 14.9762538608515 |
| 0.488828577156234 |
| 4.96850369262909 |
| -5.78538212322108 |
| 0.230483196218526 |
| 13.0191993746804 |
| -3.17915569746818 |
| -12.2359893024489 |
| 4.37323690981063 |
| 9.9423969820642 |
| -4.45095667737148 |
| 16.9630288137727 |
| 7.17036552441887 |
| -0.261905481639858 |
| 6.10122776533149 |
| -2.8325232406865 |
| 2.38686344664555 |
| 26.3436406165974 |
| 15.9708121627086 |
| -6.3508578714165 |
| 12.1192209640623 |
| -18.3384591840023 |
| -7.92533527550358 |
| 25.9797655562251 |
| -14.7863995967881 |
| -7.03478105032627 |
| -2.15657271342692 |
| 10.2614310350269 |
| 1.04076414027790 |
| 0.755508149246256 |
| -3.54462725679137 |
| -0.133958161641347 |
| 6.33831152772475 |
| 5.19309072799467 |
| 32.9699869499103 |
| 6.82230488747308 |
| -18.7000774339667 |
| 9.38590556922934 |
| 10.6454863182601 |
| -9.7196347829989 |
| 6.74502577453232 |
| 18.7223417179082 |
| 27.3753217265385 |
| -13.1525608390406 |
| -3.36697460023247 |
| -18.3584756367688 |
| -1.25941900044546 |
| -6.4882435194857 |
| -13.6905168725603 |
| -3.15796287073729 |
| 1.17957163526632 |
| 5.98058005497133 |
| -0.132843403734077 |
| -5.68836204407274 |
| -14.2834245317799 |
| -16.6831010447864 |
| -10.3816688157506 |
| -12.1132537181568 |
| -16.5817164112379 |
| 12.0876497170745 |
| 1.18174572004877 |
| 2.99540579566539 |
| -10.5317048368324 |
| 44.4215024864494 |
| -0.0126902777855155 |
| -25.8181112146059 |
| -3.46941572993936 |
| 8.39046673437901 |
| -21.4906470675242 |
| 3.42670942756009 |
| -13.0817930572858 |
| -0.49161455627015 |
| -0.791753210827466 |
| -7.99474852624373 |
| 7.68212951983015 |
| -8.8600421384049 |
| 2.10563370610555 |
| 15.3960023696429 |
