Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[32])
20	31.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	20.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	19.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	10.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	13.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	15.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	15.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	15.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	12.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	10.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	9.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	10.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	16.9	11.2923	4.037	18.5476	0.0649	0.6057	0.0081	0.6057
34	22	12.9031	2.1646	23.6415	0.0484	0.2328	0.1074	0.6826
35	27.6	13.2738	-1.6365	28.1842	0.0298	0.1257	0.6275	0.6521
36	28.9	13.0824	-2.8487	29.0135	0.0258	0.037	0.4942	0.6339
37	31	12.2411	-4.0098	28.492	0.0118	0.0223	0.3651	0.5926
38	32.9	11.6495	-4.6115	27.9105	0.0052	0.0098	0.317	0.5646
39	38.1	11.4029	-4.9213	27.7271	7e-04	0.0049	0.3114	0.5527
40	28.8	11.6503	-4.9161	28.2168	0.0212	9e-04	0.4506	0.5635
41	29	12.036	-5.2144	29.2865	0.027	0.0284	0.5514	0.5782
42	21.8	12.355	-5.731	30.441	0.153	0.0356	0.6007	0.5881
43	28.8	12.4139	-6.4044	31.2322	0.0439	0.1641	0.635	0.5871
44	25.6	12.278	-6.9974	31.5533	0.0878	0.0465	0.5797	0.5797
45	28.2	12.0638	-7.5036	31.6312	0.053	0.0876	0.314	0.5701
46	20.2	11.9243	-7.8761	31.7247	0.2063	0.0536	0.1593	0.5639
47	17.9	11.9088	-8.1658	31.9834	0.2793	0.2091	0.0628	0.5624
48	16.3	11.995	-8.4366	32.4266	0.3398	0.2855	0.0524	0.5646
49	13.2	12.1021	-8.7609	32.9652	0.4589	0.3467	0.0379	0.5672
50	8.1	12.1664	-9.1392	33.4721	0.3542	0.4621	0.0282	0.5682
51	4.5	12.1628	-9.5446	33.8701	0.2445	0.6431	0.0096	0.5668
52	-0.1	12.1139	-9.9383	34.166	0.1388	0.7507	0.069	0.564
53	0	12.0594	-10.3004	34.4192	0.1452	0.8568	0.0688	0.5613
54	2.3	12.0319	-10.6265	34.6904	0.1999	0.851	0.1991	0.5595
55	2.8	12.0387	-10.9314	35.0088	0.2153	0.797	0.0763	0.559
56	2.9	12.0662	-11.2341	35.3666	0.2203	0.7821	0.1275	0.5591
57	0.1	12.093	-11.5475	35.7336	0.16	0.777	0.0909	0.5591
58	3.5	12.1044	-11.8716	36.0804	0.2409	0.8368	0.254	0.5586
59	8.6	12.0984	-12.1987	36.3954	0.3889	0.756	0.3199	0.5577
60	13.8	12.0834	-12.5193	36.6861	0.4456	0.6093	0.3685	0.5565

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
33	0.3278	0.4966	0	31.4462	0	0
34	0.4246	0.705	0.6008	82.7541	57.1002	7.5565
35	0.5731	1.0793	0.7603	205.239	106.4798	10.3189
36	0.6213	1.2091	0.8725	250.196	142.4088	11.9335
37	0.6773	1.5325	1.0045	351.8966	184.3064	13.5759
38	0.7122	1.8242	1.1411	451.5838	228.8526	15.1279
39	0.7304	2.3413	1.3125	712.7353	297.9787	17.2621
40	0.7255	1.472	1.3325	294.1106	297.4952	17.248
41	0.7312	1.4094	1.341	287.7771	296.4154	17.2167
42	0.7469	0.7645	1.2834	89.2076	275.6946	16.6041
43	0.7734	1.32	1.2867	268.5045	275.041	16.5844
44	0.801	1.085	1.2699	177.4761	266.9106	16.3374
45	0.8275	1.3376	1.2751	260.3777	266.4081	16.322
46	0.8472	0.694	1.2336	68.4873	252.2709	15.883
47	0.86	0.5031	1.1849	35.8946	237.8458	15.4222
48	0.8691	0.3589	1.1333	18.5328	224.1387	14.9713
49	0.8795	0.0907	1.0719	1.2053	211.025	14.5267
50	0.8935	-0.3342	1.031	16.5357	200.22	14.1499
51	0.9106	-0.63	1.0099	58.7181	192.7726	13.8843
52	0.9288	-1.0083	1.0098	149.1784	190.5928	13.8055
53	0.946	-1	1.0093	145.4291	188.4422	13.7274
54	0.9608	-0.8088	1.0002	94.7103	184.1817	13.5714
55	0.9735	-0.7674	0.9901	85.3533	179.8848	13.4121
56	0.9852	-0.7597	0.9805	84.0201	175.8904	13.2624
57	0.9974	-0.9917	0.9809	143.8332	174.6081	13.2139
58	1.0106	-0.7108	0.9705	74.0359	170.74	13.0668
59	1.0246	-0.2892	0.9453	12.2386	164.8695	12.8402
60	1.0388	0.1421	0.9166	2.9468	159.0866	12.613