Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[81])
69	141.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
70	140.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
71	140.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
72	100.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	125.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
74	119.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
75	134.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
76	109	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
77	116.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
78	146.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
79	97.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	89.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	132.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	139.8	140.0296	109.4558	170.6034	0.4941	0.6944	0.4829	0.6944
83	129	139.5296	108.1735	170.8858	0.2552	0.4933	0.4833	0.6788
84	112.5	99.5296	67.4102	131.649	0.2143	0.0361	0.4837	0.0234
85	121.9	125.0296	92.1647	157.8945	0.426	0.7725	0.4841	0.3366
86	121.7	118.9296	85.3357	152.5235	0.4358	0.4312	0.4844	0.2211
87	123.1	134.0296	99.7222	168.3371	0.2662	0.7594	0.4847	0.5439
88	131.6	108.3296	73.3232	143.336	0.0963	0.2041	0.485	0.0916
89	119.3	115.6296	79.9379	151.3213	0.4201	0.1902	0.4853	0.1829
90	132.5	146.2296	109.8655	182.5937	0.2296	0.9267	0.4856	0.7768
91	98.3	96.7296	59.7054	133.7538	0.4669	0.0291	0.4858	0.0306
92	85.1	88.7296	51.0568	126.4024	0.4251	0.3093	0.4861	0.012
93	131.7	131.4296	93.1192	169.7401	0.4945	0.9911	0.4863	0.4863
94	129.3	139.3592	85.7261	192.9924	0.3566	0.6102	0.4936	0.6046
95	90.7	138.8592	83.4489	194.2696	0.0442	0.6324	0.6364	0.5945
96	78.6	98.8592	41.7269	155.9915	0.2435	0.6102	0.3199	0.1271
97	68.9	124.3592	65.5554	183.1631	0.0323	0.9364	0.5327	0.3982
98	79.1	118.2592	57.83	178.6884	0.102	0.9453	0.4556	0.3267
99	83.5	133.3592	71.3473	195.3712	0.0575	0.9568	0.6271	0.5159
100	74.1	107.6592	44.1039	171.2145	0.1503	0.7719	0.2302	0.2255
101	59.7	114.9592	49.8972	180.0213	0.048	0.8908	0.448	0.3028
102	93.3	145.5592	79.0246	212.0939	0.0618	0.9943	0.6498	0.6541
103	61.3	96.0592	28.0838	164.0346	0.1581	0.5317	0.4742	0.1494
104	56.6	88.0592	18.673	157.4455	0.1871	0.7751	0.5333	0.1067
105	98.5	130.7592	59.9903	201.5282	0.1858	0.98	0.4896	0.4852

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
82	0.1114	-0.0016	0	0.0527	0	0
83	0.1147	-0.0755	0.0386	110.8728	55.4627	7.4473
84	0.1646	0.1303	0.0691	168.2309	93.0521	9.6464
85	0.1341	-0.025	0.0581	9.7945	72.2377	8.4993
86	0.1441	0.0233	0.0511	7.675	59.3252	7.7023
87	0.1306	-0.0815	0.0562	119.4565	69.3471	8.3275
88	0.1649	0.2148	0.0789	541.5109	136.799	11.6961
89	0.1575	0.0317	0.073	13.4717	121.3831	11.0174
90	0.1269	-0.0939	0.0753	188.5023	128.8408	11.3508
91	0.1953	0.0162	0.0694	2.4661	116.2033	10.7798
92	0.2166	-0.0409	0.0668	13.1741	106.837	10.3362
93	0.1487	0.0021	0.0614	0.0731	97.9401	9.8965
94	0.1964	-0.0722	0.0622	101.1881	98.1899	9.9091
95	0.2036	-0.3468	0.0826	2319.3113	256.8414	16.0263
96	0.2949	-0.2049	0.0907	410.4363	267.0811	16.3426
97	0.2413	-0.446	0.1129	3075.726	442.6214	21.0386
98	0.2607	-0.3311	0.1258	1533.4452	506.7875	22.5119
99	0.2372	-0.3739	0.1395	2485.9426	616.7406	24.8343
100	0.3012	-0.3117	0.1486	1126.2218	643.5554	25.3684
101	0.2888	-0.4807	0.1652	3053.5823	764.0567	27.6416
102	0.2332	-0.359	0.1744	2731.0269	857.722	29.2869
103	0.361	-0.3619	0.183	1208.204	873.653	29.5576
104	0.402	-0.3573	0.1905	989.683	878.6977	29.6428
105	0.2761	-0.2467	0.1929	1040.6578	885.4461	29.7564