Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[45])
33	8.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	8.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	8.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	7.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	7.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	6.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	6.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	6.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	6.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	7.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	7.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	7.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	6.9	7.1717	6.7773	7.5662	0.0885	0.6393	0	0.6393
47	7	7.166	6.5314	7.8006	0.3041	0.7943	7e-04	0.5808
48	6.8	7.2994	6.4098	8.1889	0.1356	0.7452	0.0929	0.6698
49	6.4	7.4436	6.4658	8.4213	0.0182	0.9015	0.6132	0.7545
50	6.7	7.5102	6.5237	8.4967	0.0537	0.9863	0.8873	0.7925
51	6.6	7.5134	6.5276	8.4991	0.0347	0.9471	0.9653	0.7944
52	6.4	7.4989	6.5139	8.4838	0.0144	0.9632	0.9441	0.7863
53	6.3	7.4919	6.5071	8.4767	0.0088	0.9851	0.8806	0.7823
54	6.2	7.4935	6.5082	8.4789	0.005	0.9912	0.8369	0.7831
55	6.5	7.4971	6.5113	8.4828	0.0237	0.995	0.7851	0.7851
56	6.8	7.4987	6.5129	8.4845	0.0824	0.9765	0.7237	0.786
57	6.8	7.4985	6.5128	8.4843	0.0824	0.9176	0.7859	0.7859
58	6.4	7.498	6.5123	8.4836	0.0145	0.9174	0.8828	0.7856
59	6.1	7.4977	6.512	8.4834	0.0027	0.9855	0.8388	0.7855
60	5.8	7.4977	6.512	8.4834	4e-04	0.9973	0.9173	0.7855
61	6.1	7.4979	6.5121	8.4836	0.0027	0.9996	0.9855	0.7856
62	7.2	7.4979	6.5122	8.4836	0.2768	0.9973	0.9437	0.7856
63	7.3	7.4979	6.5122	8.4836	0.347	0.7232	0.9629	0.7856
64	6.9	7.4979	6.5122	8.4836	0.1173	0.653	0.9855	0.7856
65	6.1	7.4979	6.5122	8.4836	0.0027	0.8827	0.9914	0.7856
66	5.8	7.4979	6.5122	8.4836	4e-04	0.9973	0.9951	0.7856
67	6.2	7.4979	6.5122	8.4836	0.0049	0.9996	0.9764	0.7856
68	7.1	7.4979	6.5122	8.4836	0.2144	0.9951	0.9174	0.7856
69	7.7	7.4979	6.5122	8.4836	0.3439	0.7856	0.9174	0.7856
70	7.9	7.4979	6.5122	8.4836	0.212	0.3439	0.9855	0.7856
71	7.7	7.4979	6.5122	8.4836	0.3439	0.212	0.9973	0.7856
72	7.4	7.4979	6.5122	8.4836	0.4229	0.3439	0.9996	0.7856
73	7.5	7.4979	6.5122	8.4836	0.4983	0.5771	0.9973	0.7856

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
46	0.0281	-0.0379	0	0.0738	0	0
47	0.0452	-0.0232	0.0305	0.0276	0.0507	0.2252
48	0.0622	-0.0684	0.0432	0.2494	0.1169	0.3419
49	0.067	-0.1402	0.0674	1.089	0.3599	0.6
50	0.067	-0.1079	0.0755	0.6564	0.4192	0.6475
51	0.0669	-0.1216	0.0832	0.8342	0.4884	0.6989
52	0.067	-0.1465	0.0922	1.2075	0.5911	0.7689
53	0.0671	-0.1591	0.1006	1.4206	0.6948	0.8336
54	0.0671	-0.1726	0.1086	1.6732	0.8035	0.8964
55	0.0671	-0.133	0.111	0.9941	0.8226	0.907
56	0.0671	-0.0932	0.1094	0.4882	0.7922	0.89
57	0.0671	-0.0932	0.1081	0.488	0.7668	0.8757
58	0.0671	-0.1464	0.111	1.2055	0.8006	0.8947
59	0.0671	-0.1864	0.1164	1.9536	0.8829	0.9396
60	0.0671	-0.2264	0.1237	2.8823	1.0162	1.0081
61	0.0671	-0.1864	0.1276	1.954	1.0748	1.0367
62	0.0671	-0.0397	0.1225	0.0887	1.0168	1.0084
63	0.0671	-0.0264	0.1171	0.0392	0.9625	0.9811
64	0.0671	-0.0797	0.1152	0.3575	0.9307	0.9647
65	0.0671	-0.1864	0.1187	1.954	0.9818	0.9909
66	0.0671	-0.2264	0.1239	2.8827	1.0724	1.0355
67	0.0671	-0.1731	0.1261	1.6845	1.1002	1.0489
68	0.0671	-0.0531	0.1229	0.1583	1.0592	1.0292
69	0.0671	0.027	0.1189	0.0409	1.0168	1.0084
70	0.0671	0.0536	0.1163	0.1617	0.9826	0.9913
71	0.0671	0.027	0.1129	0.0409	0.9464	0.9728
72	0.0671	-0.0131	0.1092	0.0096	0.9117	0.9548
73	0.0671	3e-04	0.1053	0	0.8791	0.9376