Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	98.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	102.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	114.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	99.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	72.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	92.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	99.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	85.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	109.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	97.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	104.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	56.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	86.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	108.5	109.0435	97.053	121.7321	0.4665	0.9997	0.8548	0.9997
51	103.4	112.0297	99.1143	125.7359	0.1086	0.6931	0.3727	0.9999
52	86.2	93.5207	81.5287	106.3352	0.1314	0.0654	0.1843	0.8516
53	71	76.1924	64.9625	88.3172	0.2006	0.0529	0.7247	0.0447
54	75.9	88.2466	76.0806	101.3145	0.032	0.9952	0.2716	0.5917
55	87.1	95.5647	82.6496	109.417	0.1155	0.9973	0.2937	0.8951
56	102	89.4077	76.8453	102.9208	0.0339	0.6311	0.6945	0.6527
57	88.5	106.0524	92.317	120.7399	0.0096	0.7057	0.3275	0.9951
58	87.8	99.3508	85.9275	113.748	0.0579	0.9302	0.5942	0.9575
59	100.8	106.1269	92.1849	121.0504	0.2421	0.992	0.5743	0.9946
60	50.6	54.0335	44.1899	64.8661	0.2672	0	0.302	0
61	85.9	87.601	74.8467	101.3582	0.4043	1	0.5511	0.5511

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.0594	-0.005	0	0.2954	0	0
51	0.0624	-0.077	0.041	74.4719	37.3837	6.1142
52	0.0699	-0.0783	0.0534	53.5923	42.7865	6.5411
53	0.0812	-0.0681	0.0571	26.961	38.8302	6.2314
54	0.0756	-0.1399	0.0737	152.4376	61.5517	7.8455
55	0.074	-0.0886	0.0762	71.6515	63.235	7.952
56	0.0771	0.1408	0.0854	158.5651	76.8535	8.7666
57	0.0707	-0.1655	0.0954	308.0851	105.7575	10.2838
58	0.0739	-0.1163	0.0977	133.422	108.8313	10.4322
59	0.0717	-0.0502	0.093	28.3761	100.7858	10.0392
60	0.1023	-0.0635	0.0903	11.789	92.6952	9.6278
61	0.0801	-0.0194	0.0844	2.8934	85.2117	9.231