| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | ma2 | ma3 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.7055 | 0.3758 | -0.3998 | -0.4452 | -0.5973 | 0.6416 |
| (p-val) | (0.1339 ) | (0.1582 ) | (0.2853 ) | (0.2993 ) | (0.0092 ) | (0.0449 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.4681 | 0.3752 | -0.1902 | 0 | -0.7527 | 0.5243 |
| (p-val) | (0.1918 ) | (0.3917 ) | (0.1627 ) | (NA ) | (0.0071 ) | (0.2318 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.2769 | 0 | -0.1518 | 0 | -0.1812 | 0.4696 |
| (p-val) | (0.0464 ) | (NA ) | (0.7287 ) | (NA ) | (0.1659 ) | (0.3074 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.2893 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1563 | 0.2998 |
| (p-val) | (0.0309 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.2383 ) | (0.059 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0.2555 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2263 |
| (p-val) | (0.048 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.1256 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0.288 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0244 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 2.92143834542903 |
| 56.7600889706114 |
| 80.4791680066552 |
| -2.55076514368879 |
| -5.3116709456886 |
| -79.057510418726 |
| 51.3960273000454 |
| 56.3764931576256 |
| 96.8804010972005 |
| -16.1666975840386 |
| 0.482314447820449 |
| 42.0689009517554 |
| 116.292122187911 |
| 139.488797202966 |
| 92.3425090649953 |
| 41.271170311709 |
| -80.8191419076624 |
| -109.610877502744 |
| -216.14679651967 |
| 208.786625369910 |
| 151.867981606833 |
| 115.693803280127 |
| 93.620133355834 |
| -16.1705085618910 |
| 49.3137214319796 |
| 108.546701683275 |
| 23.2913598110214 |
| -171.825726093121 |
| 246.943405944159 |
| 40.5559257271319 |
| -63.6806913862184 |
| -95.1368944476592 |
| -354.535166879241 |
| 200.445984738965 |
| 136.259232051922 |
| -285.268215058481 |
| 50.4699858631993 |
| -305.963752206143 |
| 10.5931049723613 |
| -26.4433910246835 |
| 264.361063462206 |
| -105.771610533724 |
| -276.254273261517 |
| -455.787751638237 |
| 158.907639447440 |
| -25.8607932992859 |
| -639.736384338345 |
| -23.9888239009856 |
| -98.9149928188958 |
| 226.092330606913 |
| -99.870922953532 |
| -94.4104074362372 |
| 179.211775020422 |
| 160.517416376205 |
| -48.9833880791048 |
| 6.40298086703478 |
| 175.720344157109 |
| 104.073677956493 |
| 30.1603994733787 |
