Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[55])
432408-------
442139-------
451898-------
462537-------
472069-------
482063-------
492524-------
502437-------
512189-------
522793-------
532074-------
542622-------
552278-------
5621442229.42661753.16712762.84480.37680.42920.63020.4292
5724272204.40951716.64272753.08960.21330.58540.86310.3963
5821392386.81981863.54512974.76230.20440.44670.30830.6416
5918282153.38881644.75562730.44440.13450.51950.61280.3361
6020722254.43541720.05342860.99430.27780.91590.73190.4697
6118002413.75511847.63613055.41690.03040.85170.36820.6608
6217582317.45161751.0562963.08360.04470.94190.35830.5477
6322462455.60191858.87773135.2560.27280.97790.7790.6957
6419872368.42931771.17663052.30530.13720.63720.11180.6022
6518682347.11241741.14273043.3990.08870.84460.7790.5771
6625142533.76251890.55033270.98520.4790.96160.40730.7517
6721212256.54591641.35962969.43620.35470.23950.47650.4765


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
560.1221-0.038307297.708700
570.1270.1010.069649546.526228422.1174168.5886
580.1257-0.10380.08161414.667139419.634198.5438
590.1367-0.15110.0986105877.886656034.1971236.7154
600.1373-0.08090.09533282.657851483.8893226.9006
610.1356-0.25430.1216376695.2822105685.7881325.0935
620.1421-0.24140.1387312986.1462135300.125367.8317
630.1412-0.08540.13243932.9748123879.2312351.9648
640.1473-0.1610.1352145488.2984126280.2387355.3593
650.1514-0.20410.1421229548.6939136607.0842369.604
660.1484-0.00780.1299390.5572124223.7635352.4539
670.1612-0.06010.124118372.7024115402.8418339.7099