Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1091 | 0 | 110 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 21790 | 22279.4514224485 | -4969.10442504701 | 26269.6530025985 | 489.451422448474 |
2 | 13253 | 11506.5592112009 | -11364.7483778249 | 26364.189166624 | -1746.44078879906 |
3 | 37702 | 41206.8079722223 | 7738.46669712823 | 26458.7253306495 | 3504.80797222231 |
4 | 30364 | 29294.0123645075 | 4879.4871552399 | 26554.5004802526 | -1069.98763549248 |
5 | 32609 | 30602.2161679453 | 7965.50820219897 | 26650.2756298557 | -2006.78383205466 |
6 | 30212 | 28463.264056446 | 5219.75794957985 | 26740.9779939742 | -1748.73594355401 |
7 | 29965 | 32116.0881315082 | 982.231510399147 | 26831.6803580926 | 2151.08813150824 |
8 | 28352 | 28309.8163899307 | 1469.02397387064 | 26925.1596361987 | -42.1836100693399 |
9 | 25814 | 27830.2136858763 | -3220.85260018113 | 27018.6389143048 | 2016.21368587635 |
10 | 22414 | 22971.1822369874 | -5311.68167809179 | 27168.4994411044 | 557.182236987392 |
11 | 20506 | 17076.8184255081 | -3383.17839341211 | 27318.359967904 | -3429.1815744919 |
12 | 28806 | 30201.4561371599 | -4.90964384195788 | 27415.4535066821 | 1395.45613715985 |
13 | 22228 | 21912.5573795868 | -4969.10442504701 | 27512.5470454602 | -315.442620413185 |
14 | 13971 | 11935.5654279328 | -11364.7483778249 | 27371.1829498922 | -2035.43457206722 |
15 | 36845 | 38721.7144485476 | 7738.46669712823 | 27229.8188543241 | 1876.71444854765 |
16 | 35338 | 38811.6108030272 | 4879.4871552399 | 26984.9020417329 | 3473.61080302721 |
17 | 35022 | 35338.5065686594 | 7965.50820219897 | 26739.9852291417 | 316.506568659363 |
18 | 34777 | 37906.2187349761 | 5219.75794957985 | 26428.0233154440 | 3129.21873497610 |
19 | 26887 | 26675.7070878544 | 982.231510399147 | 26116.0614017464 | -211.29291214556 |
20 | 23970 | 20788.7950604075 | 1469.02397387064 | 25682.1809657219 | -3181.20493959254 |
21 | 22780 | 23532.5520704838 | -3220.85260018113 | 25248.3005296974 | 752.552070483751 |
22 | 17351 | 15284.5387127359 | -5311.68167809179 | 24729.1429653559 | -2066.46128726415 |
23 | 21382 | 21937.1929923976 | -3383.17839341211 | 24209.9854010145 | 555.19299239762 |
24 | 24561 | 25358.7008577858 | -4.90964384195788 | 23768.2087860561 | 797.700857785814 |
25 | 17409 | 16460.6722539492 | -4969.10442504701 | 23326.4321710978 | -948.32774605079 |
26 | 11514 | 11291.8903959135 | -11364.7483778249 | 23100.8579819114 | -222.109604086487 |
27 | 31514 | 32414.2495101467 | 7738.46669712823 | 22875.2837927251 | 900.249510146718 |
28 | 27071 | 26438.9955680138 | 4879.4871552399 | 22823.5172767463 | -632.004431986214 |
29 | 29462 | 28186.7410370335 | 7965.50820219897 | 22771.7507607676 | -1275.25896296654 |
30 | 26105 | 24157.271501553 | 5219.75794957985 | 22832.9705488672 | -1947.72849844701 |
31 | 22397 | 20917.5781526341 | 982.231510399147 | 22894.1903369667 | -1479.42184736589 |
32 | 23843 | 23198.0068700880 | 1469.02397387064 | 23018.9691560413 | -644.993129911978 |
33 | 21705 | 23487.1046250652 | -3220.85260018113 | 23143.7479751159 | 1782.10462506520 |
34 | 18089 | 18103.4907883817 | -5311.68167809179 | 23386.1908897101 | 14.4907883817323 |
35 | 20764 | 21282.5445891079 | -3383.17839341211 | 23628.6338043042 | 518.544589107922 |
36 | 25316 | 26743.1277767362 | -4.90964384195788 | 23893.7818671058 | 1427.12777673619 |
37 | 17704 | 16218.1744951397 | -4969.10442504701 | 24158.9299299074 | -1485.82550486034 |
38 | 15548 | 18253.3242094717 | -11364.7483778249 | 24207.4241683533 | 2705.32420947166 |
39 | 28029 | 24063.6148960726 | 7738.46669712823 | 24255.9184067992 | -3965.38510392744 |
40 | 29383 | 29747.0633896838 | 4879.4871552399 | 24139.4494550763 | 364.063389683757 |
41 | 36438 | 40887.5112944476 | 7965.50820219897 | 24022.9805033535 | 4449.51129444755 |
42 | 32034 | 34919.0699639174 | 5219.75794957985 | 23929.1720865027 | 2885.06996391742 |
43 | 22679 | 20540.4048199489 | 982.231510399147 | 23835.363669652 | -2138.59518005112 |
44 | 24319 | 23434.2091995291 | 1469.02397387064 | 23734.7668266003 | -884.790800470924 |
45 | 18004 | 15594.6826166325 | -3220.85260018113 | 23634.1699835486 | -2409.31738336746 |
46 | 17537 | 16981.8984633569 | -5311.68167809179 | 23403.7832147349 | -555.101536643098 |
47 | 20366 | 20941.7819474909 | -3383.17839341211 | 23173.3964459212 | 575.781947490934 |
48 | 22782 | 22632.3387146269 | -4.90964384195788 | 22936.5709292150 | -149.661285373069 |
49 | 19169 | 20607.3590125381 | -4969.10442504701 | 22699.7454125089 | 1438.35901253813 |
50 | 13807 | 16319.0215261833 | -11364.7483778249 | 22659.7268516416 | 2512.02152618329 |
51 | 29743 | 29127.8250120974 | 7738.46669712823 | 22619.7082907744 | -615.174987902643 |
52 | 25591 | 23704.7196492856 | 4879.4871552399 | 22597.7931954745 | -1886.28035071444 |
53 | 29096 | 27650.6136976264 | 7965.50820219897 | 22575.8781001747 | -1445.38630237363 |
54 | 26482 | 25257.6529931132 | 5219.75794957985 | 22486.589057307 | -1224.34700688684 |
55 | 22405 | 21430.4684751616 | 982.231510399147 | 22397.3000144393 | -974.531524838447 |
56 | 27044 | 30219.6789089989 | 1469.02397387064 | 22399.2971171304 | 3175.67890899895 |
57 | 17970 | 16759.5583803596 | -3220.85260018113 | 22401.2942198215 | -1210.44161964040 |
58 | 18730 | 20174.2804751038 | -5311.68167809179 | 22597.401202988 | 1444.28047510380 |
59 | 19684 | 19957.6702072577 | -3383.17839341211 | 22793.5081861544 | 273.670207257663 |
60 | 19785 | 16578.9439782000 | -4.90964384195788 | 22995.9656656419 | -3206.05602179998 |
61 | 18479 | 18728.6812799176 | -4969.10442504701 | 23198.4231451294 | 249.681279917582 |
62 | 10698 | 9503.116288489 | -11364.7483778249 | 23257.6320893359 | -1194.883711511 |
63 | 31956 | 32856.6922693293 | 7738.46669712823 | 23316.8410335424 | 900.692269329324 |
64 | 29506 | 30838.5805147819 | 4879.4871552399 | 23293.9323299782 | 1332.5805147819 |
65 | 34506 | 37775.4681713871 | 7965.50820219897 | 23271.0236264140 | 3269.46817138708 |
66 | 27165 | 25915.8888763761 | 5219.75794957985 | 23194.3531740441 | -1249.11112362394 |
67 | 26736 | 29372.0857679266 | 982.231510399147 | 23117.6827216742 | 2636.08576792664 |
68 | 23691 | 22956.3767007239 | 1469.02397387064 | 22956.5993254054 | -734.623299276063 |
69 | 18157 | 16739.3366710445 | -3220.85260018113 | 22795.5159291366 | -1417.66332895551 |
70 | 17328 | 17385.6075022776 | -5311.68167809179 | 22582.0741758142 | 57.6075022776095 |
71 | 18205 | 17424.5459709204 | -3383.17839341211 | 22368.6324224917 | -780.454029079614 |
72 | 20995 | 19750.2919950398 | -4.90964384195788 | 22244.6176488021 | -1244.70800496018 |
73 | 17382 | 17612.5015499345 | -4969.10442504701 | 22120.6028751126 | 230.501549934452 |
74 | 9367 | 7918.7687710315 | -11364.7483778249 | 22179.9796067934 | -1448.2312289685 |
75 | 31124 | 32270.1769643975 | 7738.46669712823 | 22239.3563384743 | 1146.17696439745 |
76 | 26551 | 25793.0930468058 | 4879.4871552399 | 22429.4197979543 | -757.906953194215 |
77 | 30651 | 30717.0085403667 | 7965.50820219897 | 22619.4832574343 | 66.0085403667144 |
78 | 25859 | 23642.1588912285 | 5219.75794957985 | 22856.0831591916 | -2216.84110877147 |
79 | 25100 | 26125.0854286519 | 982.231510399147 | 23092.6830609489 | 1025.08542865194 |
80 | 25778 | 26769.6707172353 | 1469.02397387064 | 23317.3053088940 | 991.670717235316 |
81 | 20418 | 20514.9250433420 | -3220.85260018113 | 23541.9275568392 | 96.925043341951 |
82 | 18688 | 18963.0548139022 | -5311.68167809179 | 23724.6268641896 | 275.054813902181 |
83 | 20424 | 20323.8522218721 | -3383.17839341211 | 23907.3261715400 | -100.147778127925 |
84 | 24776 | 25489.6547470625 | -4.90964384195788 | 24067.2548967794 | 713.654747062541 |
85 | 19814 | 20369.9208030282 | -4969.10442504701 | 24227.1836220188 | 555.92080302821 |
86 | 12738 | 12534.6599947769 | -11364.7483778249 | 24306.0883830481 | -203.340005223126 |
87 | 31566 | 31008.5401587944 | 7738.46669712823 | 24384.9931440773 | -557.459841205557 |
88 | 30111 | 30976.5021763005 | 4879.4871552399 | 24366.0106684596 | 865.502176300459 |
89 | 30019 | 27725.4636049591 | 7965.50820219897 | 24347.0281928420 | -2293.53639504093 |
90 | 31934 | 34444.7483796717 | 5219.75794957985 | 24203.4936707485 | 2510.74837967168 |
91 | 25826 | 26609.8093409459 | 982.231510399147 | 24059.959148655 | 783.809340945878 |
92 | 26835 | 28428.4716252958 | 1469.02397387064 | 23772.5044008336 | 1593.47162529575 |
93 | 20205 | 20145.8029471689 | -3220.85260018113 | 23485.0496530123 | -59.1970528311176 |
94 | 17789 | 17818.7926350153 | -5311.68167809179 | 23070.8890430765 | 29.7926350152593 |
95 | 20520 | 21766.4499602713 | -3383.17839341211 | 22656.7284331408 | 1246.44996027130 |
96 | 22518 | 22827.4322232011 | -4.90964384195788 | 22213.4774206409 | 309.432223201085 |
97 | 15572 | 14342.8780169061 | -4969.10442504701 | 21770.2264081409 | -1229.12198309393 |
98 | 11509 | 12936.1894583820 | -11364.7483778249 | 21446.5589194430 | 1427.18945838198 |
99 | 25447 | 22032.6418721268 | 7738.46669712823 | 21122.8914307450 | -3414.3581278732 |
100 | 24090 | 22189.0271569096 | 4879.4871552399 | 21111.4856878505 | -1900.97284309044 |
101 | 27786 | 26506.4118528449 | 7965.50820219897 | 21100.0799449561 | -1279.58814715508 |
102 | 26195 | 25905.7284348317 | 5219.75794957985 | 21264.5136155885 | -289.271565168343 |
103 | 20516 | 18620.8212033800 | 982.231510399147 | 21428.9472862209 | -1895.17879662002 |
104 | 22759 | 22428.8791903696 | 1469.02397387064 | 21620.0968357598 | -330.1208096304 |
105 | 19028 | 19465.6062148825 | -3220.85260018113 | 21811.2463852987 | 437.606214882479 |
106 | 16971 | 17210.7677032240 | -5311.68167809179 | 22042.9139748678 | 239.767703223981 |
107 | 20036 | 21180.5968289751 | -3383.17839341211 | 22274.5815644370 | 1144.59682897515 |
108 | 22485 | 22430.1033027007 | -4.90964384195788 | 22544.8063411412 | -54.8966972992748 |
109 | 18730 | 19614.0733072015 | -4969.10442504701 | 22815.0311178455 | 884.073307201506 |