Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[33])
21	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	13	14.8869	12.4829	17.2909	0.062	0.7652	0.4633	0.7652
35	12	14.8694	12.0906	17.6482	0.0215	0.9063	0.4633	0.7301
36	13	13.965	11.0486	16.8814	0.2583	0.9067	0.7417	0.4906
37	12	14.7885	11.7873	17.7896	0.0343	0.8786	0.2144	0.6967
38	9	14.9268	11.907	17.9466	1e-04	0.9713	0.243	0.7263
39	10	13.9702	10.9398	17.0007	0.0051	0.9993	0.4923	0.4923
40	8	14.702	11.654	17.75	0	0.9988	0.2019	0.6742
41	11	14.986	11.9411	18.0309	0.0051	1	0.4964	0.7372
42	8	13.9938	10.948	17.0396	1e-04	0.973	0.4984	0.4984
43	8	14.6161	11.561	17.6711	0	1	0.4027	0.6537
44	8	15.0378	11.9882	18.0874	0	1	0.5097	0.7476
45	4	14.0303	10.9815	17.0791	0	0.9999	0.5078	0.5078
46	6	14.5298	11.4732	17.5863	0	1	0.8367	0.633
47	8	15.0795	12.0283	18.1308	0	1	0.976	0.756
48	10	14.078	11.0284	17.1276	0.0044	1	0.7558	0.52
49	5	14.4442	11.3875	17.501	0	0.9978	0.9415	0.6121
50	6	15.1099	12.0577	18.1622	0	1	1	0.762
51	5	14.1355	11.0856	17.1855	0	1	0.9961	0.5347
52	9	14.3612	11.3045	17.4179	3e-04	1	1	0.5916
53	8	15.1283	12.0751	18.1815	0	1	0.996	0.7656
54	6	14.2017	11.1514	17.2519	0	1	1	0.5516
55	9	14.2824	11.226	17.3389	4e-04	1	1	0.5719
56	11	15.1343	12.0801	18.1885	0.004	1	1	0.7667
57	11	14.2749	11.2244	17.3255	0.0177	0.9823	1	0.5701
58	8	14.2095	11.1534	17.2656	0	0.9802	1	0.5534
59	11	15.1278	12.0726	18.1829	0.004	1	1	0.7653
60	11	14.3537	11.3028	17.4046	0.0156	0.9844	0.9974	0.5899
61	13	14.144	11.0882	17.1998	0.2316	0.9781	1	0.5368

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
34	0.0824	-0.1267	0	3.5603	0	0
35	0.0953	-0.193	0.1599	8.2336	5.897	2.4284
36	0.1065	-0.0691	0.1296	0.9312	4.2417	2.0595
37	0.1035	-0.1886	0.1443	7.7756	5.1252	2.2639
38	0.1032	-0.3971	0.1949	35.127	11.1255	3.3355
39	0.1107	-0.2842	0.2098	15.7629	11.8984	3.4494
40	0.1058	-0.4559	0.2449	44.9165	16.6153	4.0762
41	0.1037	-0.266	0.2476	15.888	16.5244	4.065
42	0.111	-0.4283	0.2676	35.9256	18.6801	4.322
43	0.1066	-0.4527	0.2861	43.7724	21.1893	4.6032
44	0.1035	-0.468	0.3027	49.5309	23.7658	4.875
45	0.1109	-0.7149	0.337	100.6074	30.1693	5.4927
46	0.1073	-0.5871	0.3563	72.7567	33.4452	5.7832
47	0.1032	-0.4695	0.3643	50.12	34.6363	5.8853
48	0.1105	-0.2897	0.3594	16.6301	33.4359	5.7824
49	0.108	-0.6538	0.3778	89.1938	36.9208	6.0762
50	0.1031	-0.6029	0.391	82.991	39.6308	6.2953
51	0.1101	-0.6463	0.4052	83.4582	42.0656	6.4858
52	0.1086	-0.3733	0.4035	28.7428	41.3644	6.4315
53	0.103	-0.4712	0.4069	50.8127	41.8368	6.4681
54	0.1096	-0.5775	0.415	67.2674	43.0478	6.5611
55	0.1092	-0.3699	0.413	27.904	42.3595	6.5084
56	0.103	-0.2732	0.4069	17.0922	41.2609	6.4235
57	0.109	-0.2294	0.3995	10.7252	39.9886	6.3237
58	0.1097	-0.437	0.401	38.5578	39.9313	6.3191
59	0.103	-0.2729	0.3961	17.0384	39.0508	6.2491
60	0.1084	-0.2336	0.3901	11.2476	38.0211	6.1661
61	0.1102	-0.0809	0.379	1.3087	36.7099	6.0589