Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 102.1 | NA | NA | 1.00519037227915 | NA |
2 | 102.86 | NA | NA | 1.00184469355228 | NA |
3 | 102.99 | NA | NA | 0.999537013489676 | NA |
4 | 103.73 | NA | NA | 1.01026528475282 | NA |
5 | 105.02 | NA | NA | 1.00486594356418 | NA |
6 | 104.43 | NA | NA | 0.999928785216081 | NA |
7 | 104.63 | 105.083572462831 | 104.795 | 1.00275368541277 | 0.995683697725526 |
8 | 104.93 | 104.288573508554 | 105.194583333333 | 0.991387295846708 | 1.00615049635704 |
9 | 105.87 | 104.558093138201 | 105.5525 | 0.990579030702262 | 1.01254715749326 |
10 | 105.66 | 105.512595737331 | 105.937916666667 | 0.995985186959322 | 1.00139703000991 |
11 | 106.76 | 106.129334173471 | 106.264166666667 | 0.998731157478337 | 1.00594242705319 |
12 | 106 | 106.406605006988 | 106.520416666667 | 0.998931550746416 | 0.996178761581943 |
13 | 107.22 | 107.374854396181 | 106.820416666667 | 1.00519037227915 | 0.998557815076431 |
14 | 107.33 | 107.290470279536 | 107.092916666667 | 1.00184469355228 | 1.00036843645443 |
15 | 107.11 | 107.265314602645 | 107.315 | 0.999537013489676 | 0.998552051954354 |
16 | 108.86 | 108.702018976192 | 107.5975 | 1.01026528475282 | 1.00145334029024 |
17 | 107.72 | 108.494957232481 | 107.969583333333 | 1.00486594356418 | 0.992857205051284 |
18 | 107.88 | 108.414778715091 | 108.4225 | 0.999928785216081 | 0.995067289520593 |
19 | 108.38 | 109.23497272044 | 108.935 | 1.00275368541277 | 0.992173086154119 |
20 | 107.72 | 108.502795671983 | 109.445416666667 | 0.991387295846708 | 0.992785479239177 |
21 | 108.41 | 108.954200328205 | 109.990416666667 | 0.990579030702262 | 0.995005237736909 |
22 | 109.9 | 110.114462294911 | 110.558333333333 | 0.995985186959322 | 0.998052369412324 |
23 | 111.45 | 111.056824021680 | 111.197916666667 | 0.998731157478337 | 1.00354031354475 |
24 | 112.18 | 111.775445870770 | 111.895 | 0.998931550746416 | 1.00361934704065 |
25 | 113.34 | 113.173127526944 | 112.58875 | 1.00519037227915 | 1.00147448848240 |
26 | 113.46 | 113.498150461960 | 113.289166666667 | 1.00184469355228 | 0.999663867104404 |
27 | 114.06 | 113.891412054570 | 113.944166666667 | 0.999537013489676 | 1.00148025160448 |
28 | 115.54 | 115.704420231135 | 114.52875 | 1.01026528475282 | 0.998578963268594 |
29 | 116.39 | 115.560839592310 | 115.00125 | 1.00486594356418 | 1.00717509850755 |
30 | 115.94 | 115.367200231299 | 115.375416666667 | 0.999928785216081 | 1.00496501403824 |
31 | 116.97 | 116.057875921603 | 115.739166666667 | 1.00275368541277 | 1.00785921740471 |
32 | 115.94 | 115.105848140362 | 116.105833333333 | 0.991387295846708 | 1.00724682431966 |
33 | 115.91 | 115.330227355825 | 116.427083333333 | 0.990579030702262 | 1.00502706582192 |
34 | 116.43 | 116.199931787232 | 116.668333333333 | 0.995985186959322 | 1.00197993414651 |
35 | 116.26 | 116.669276988726 | 116.8175 | 0.998731157478337 | 0.996491990014088 |
36 | 116.35 | 116.768854960064 | 116.89375 | 0.998931550746416 | 0.996412956518182 |
37 | 117.9 | NA | 116.874166666667 | NA | NA |
38 | 117.7 | NA | 116.804583333333 | NA | NA |
39 | 117.53 | NA | 116.740416666667 | NA | NA |
40 | 117.86 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
41 | 117.65 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
42 | 116.51 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
43 | 115.93 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
44 | 115.31 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
45 | 115 | NA | NA | NA | NA |