Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[32])
20	116.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	99.15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	110.26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	107.59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	107.01	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	113.77	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	93.33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	147.32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	124.48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	106.79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	134.39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	111.41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	132.43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	98.26	95.7601	80.8311	110.6891	0.3714	0	0.3281	0
34	109.81	118.7284	103.0069	134.4499	0.1331	0.9946	0.8545	0.0438
35	115.28	109.1482	91.5997	126.6967	0.2467	0.4705	0.5691	0.0047
36	108.97	107.5139	90.0549	124.9729	0.4351	0.1916	0.5226	0.0026
37	99.19	119.6257	102.5258	136.7255	0.0096	0.889	0.7489	0.0711
38	105.46	100.1593	82.8313	117.4874	0.2744	0.5437	0.7801	1e-04
39	138.97	144.8255	127.4056	162.2455	0.255	1	0.3895	0.9184
40	124.52	124.9579	107.5534	142.3624	0.4803	0.0573	0.5215	0.2
41	117.37	120.6492	103.2457	138.0527	0.3559	0.3314	0.9407	0.0923
42	123.86	121.6097	104.1219	139.0975	0.4004	0.6827	0.076	0.1126
43	116.39	123.9478	106.4706	141.425	0.1983	0.5039	0.9201	0.1707
44	124.7	124.9557	107.4856	142.4258	0.4886	0.8317	0.2009	0.2009
45	97.46	98.395	79.7485	117.0415	0.4609	0.0028	0.5057	2e-04
46	103.24	118.5641	100.0998	137.0283	0.0519	0.9875	0.8236	0.0705
47	112.39	112.5044	93.7427	131.2661	0.4952	0.8334	0.3859	0.0187
48	107.19	108.593	90.1993	126.9868	0.4406	0.3429	0.484	0.0055
49	100.53	120.0748	101.8765	138.273	0.0176	0.9174	0.9878	0.0916
50	95.73	102.2107	84.0035	120.4179	0.2427	0.5718	0.3632	6e-04
51	143.54	146.68	128.4613	164.8988	0.3678	1	0.7966	0.9374
52	101.99	125.8108	107.5902	144.0313	0.0052	0.0283	0.5552	0.2382
53	120.66	122.0052	103.7889	140.2215	0.4425	0.9844	0.691	0.131
54	121.46	123.6212	105.4297	141.8127	0.4079	0.6252	0.4897	0.1713
55	102.97	125.0644	106.8517	143.2771	0.0087	0.651	0.8247	0.214
56	121.32	126.3426	108.1059	144.5792	0.2947	0.994	0.5701	0.2565
57	85.02	100.0571	80.6831	119.431	0.0641	0.0157	0.6036	5e-04
58	106.21	120.0498	100.9757	139.1239	0.0775	0.9998	0.9579	0.1017
59	110.39	113.7815	94.201	133.3621	0.3671	0.7757	0.5554	0.031
60	87.1	110.1149	90.9864	129.2433	0.0092	0.4888	0.6178	0.0111

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
33	0.0795	0.0261	0	6.2495	0	0
34	0.0676	-0.0751	0.0506	79.5382	42.8939	6.5493
35	0.082	0.0562	0.0525	37.5988	41.1288	6.4132
36	0.0829	0.0135	0.0427	2.1202	31.3767	5.6015
37	0.0729	-0.1708	0.0684	417.617	108.6247	10.4223
38	0.0883	0.0529	0.0658	28.0972	95.2035	9.7572
39	0.0614	-0.0404	0.0622	34.287	86.5011	9.3006
40	0.0711	-0.0035	0.0548	0.1917	75.7125	8.7013
41	0.0736	-0.0272	0.0518	10.7531	68.4948	8.2762
42	0.0734	0.0185	0.0484	5.0638	62.1517	7.8836
43	0.0719	-0.061	0.0496	57.12	61.6942	7.8546
44	0.0713	-0.002	0.0456	0.0654	56.5585	7.5205
45	0.0967	-0.0095	0.0428	0.8742	52.2751	7.2302
46	0.0795	-0.1292	0.049	234.8274	65.3145	8.0817
47	0.0851	-0.001	0.0458	0.0131	60.9611	7.8078
48	0.0864	-0.0129	0.0438	1.9685	57.2741	7.568
49	0.0773	-0.1628	0.0508	381.9976	76.3755	8.7393
50	0.0909	-0.0634	0.0515	41.9993	74.4657	8.6293
51	0.0634	-0.0214	0.0499	9.8598	71.0654	8.43
52	0.0739	-0.1893	0.0568	567.4287	95.8835	9.792
53	0.0762	-0.011	0.0547	1.8096	91.4038	9.5605
54	0.0751	-0.0175	0.053	4.6709	87.4614	9.3521
55	0.0743	-0.1767	0.0584	488.1622	104.8832	10.2412
56	0.0736	-0.0398	0.0576	25.2264	101.5642	10.0779
57	0.0988	-0.1503	0.0613	226.1133	106.5461	10.3221
58	0.0811	-0.1153	0.0634	191.5395	109.8151	10.4793
59	0.0878	-0.0298	0.0621	11.5025	106.1739	10.3041
60	0.0886	-0.209	0.0674	529.6833	121.2992	11.0136