Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 8.3 | NA | NA | 1.03524932354549 | NA |
2 | 8.2 | NA | NA | 1.03033694048115 | NA |
3 | 8 | NA | NA | 1.00374983725856 | NA |
4 | 7.9 | NA | NA | 0.96901694619278 | NA |
5 | 7.6 | NA | NA | 0.941845105965402 | NA |
6 | 7.6 | NA | NA | 0.936410597347787 | NA |
7 | 8.3 | 8.35498930226754 | 8.2 | 1.01890113442287 | 0.99341838747147 |
8 | 8.4 | 8.49886391056049 | 8.25 | 1.03016532249218 | 0.988367396913175 |
9 | 8.4 | 8.49054246786196 | 8.2875 | 1.02449984529254 | 0.98933607973758 |
10 | 8.4 | 8.3322035830397 | 8.28333333333333 | 1.00589982893839 | 1.00813667312430 |
11 | 8.4 | 8.18980512565796 | 8.25 | 0.992703651594904 | 1.02566543050988 |
12 | 8.6 | 8.31729656169873 | 8.225 | 1.01122146646793 | 1.03398982303975 |
13 | 8.9 | 8.52786630270601 | 8.2375 | 1.03524932354549 | 1.04363737470602 |
14 | 8.8 | 8.54750353540822 | 8.29583333333333 | 1.03033694048115 | 1.02954037556648 |
15 | 8.3 | 8.40222259605186 | 8.37083333333333 | 1.00374983725856 | 0.98783386242351 |
16 | 7.5 | 8.15993020106504 | 8.42083333333333 | 0.96901694619278 | 0.919125509066376 |
17 | 7.2 | 7.93504501775851 | 8.425 | 0.941845105965402 | 0.907367252975441 |
18 | 7.4 | 7.8697507285437 | 8.40416666666667 | 0.936410597347787 | 0.940309325574964 |
19 | 8.8 | 8.53329700079154 | 8.375 | 1.01890113442287 | 1.03125439079218 |
20 | 9.3 | 8.6018804428097 | 8.35 | 1.03016532249218 | 1.08115894679446 |
21 | 9.3 | 8.55457370819275 | 8.35 | 1.02449984529254 | 1.08713774844132 |
22 | 8.7 | 8.43698481522078 | 8.3875 | 1.00589982893839 | 1.03117407350369 |
23 | 8.2 | 8.39248212119192 | 8.45416666666667 | 0.992703651594904 | 0.977064935210778 |
24 | 8.3 | 8.60802273330826 | 8.5125 | 1.01122146646793 | 0.964216784405508 |
25 | 8.5 | 8.82550048322534 | 8.525 | 1.03524932354549 | 0.963118184193177 |
26 | 8.6 | 8.74927785291911 | 8.49166666666667 | 1.03033694048115 | 0.982938265828499 |
27 | 8.5 | 8.47332154285767 | 8.44166666666666 | 1.00374983725856 | 1.00314852410680 |
28 | 8.2 | 8.14781748923763 | 8.40833333333333 | 0.96901694619278 | 1.00640447712916 |
29 | 8.1 | 7.91934759932576 | 8.40833333333333 | 0.941845105965402 | 1.02281152562234 |
30 | 7.9 | 7.8892592826551 | 8.425 | 0.936410597347787 | 1.00136143546055 |
31 | 8.6 | 8.6012237430864 | 8.44166666666666 | 1.01890113442287 | 0.999857724537467 |
32 | 8.7 | 8.70918933056931 | 8.45416666666667 | 1.03016532249218 | 0.99894486958309 |
33 | 8.7 | 8.66982994078816 | 8.4625 | 1.02449984529254 | 1.00347989054202 |
34 | 8.5 | 8.52919229954013 | 8.47916666666667 | 1.00589982893839 | 0.99657736647095 |
35 | 8.4 | 8.43798103855669 | 8.5 | 0.992703651594904 | 0.995498800200767 |
36 | 8.5 | 8.60802273330826 | 8.5125 | 1.01122146646793 | 0.987450923788773 |
37 | 8.7 | 8.7996192501367 | 8.5 | 1.03524932354549 | 0.988679140846332 |
38 | 8.7 | 8.7149332882364 | 8.45833333333333 | 1.03033694048115 | 0.998286471308213 |
39 | 8.6 | 8.43986321494906 | 8.40833333333333 | 1.00374983725856 | 1.01897386023595 |
40 | 8.5 | 8.10340421253712 | 8.3625 | 0.96901694619278 | 1.04894187394099 |
41 | 8.3 | 7.83693615255378 | 8.32083333333333 | 0.941845105965402 | 1.05908735741012 |
42 | 8 | 7.74879769305294 | 8.275 | 0.936410597347787 | 1.03241823014327 |
43 | 8.2 | 8.37621640923468 | 8.22083333333333 | 1.01890113442287 | 0.978962290296081 |
44 | 8.1 | 8.40872444484243 | 8.1625 | 1.03016532249218 | 0.963285222762677 |
45 | 8.1 | 8.302717496225 | 8.10416666666667 | 1.02449984529254 | 0.975584199231497 |
46 | 8 | 8.10168487224131 | 8.05416666666667 | 1.00589982893839 | 0.98744892280497 |
47 | 7.9 | 7.94990174318919 | 8.00833333333333 | 0.992703651594904 | 0.993722973591222 |
48 | 7.9 | 8.03921065842005 | 7.95 | 1.01122146646793 | 0.98268354141532 |
49 | 8 | 8.16552903946509 | 7.8875 | 1.03524932354549 | 0.979728314152694 |
50 | 8 | 8.06238655926501 | 7.825 | 1.03033694048115 | 0.992262023309547 |
51 | 7.9 | 7.77487894776526 | 7.74583333333333 | 1.00374983725856 | 1.01609299039578 |
52 | 8 | 7.42105477959304 | 7.65833333333333 | 0.96901694619278 | 1.07801387236744 |
53 | 7.7 | 7.13840103229611 | 7.57916666666667 | 0.941845105965402 | 1.07867293602069 |
54 | 7.2 | 7.03478461257525 | 7.5125 | 0.936410597347787 | 1.02348549337664 |
55 | 7.5 | 7.59505887284381 | 7.45416666666667 | 1.01890113442287 | 0.987484116392607 |
56 | 7.3 | 7.61034631991098 | 7.3875 | 1.03016532249218 | 0.959220473436403 |
57 | 7 | 7.48311761999096 | 7.30416666666667 | 1.02449984529254 | 0.935438991537388 |
58 | 7 | 7.23409626978195 | 7.19166666666667 | 1.00589982893839 | 0.967639873585895 |
59 | 7 | 7.00683327417403 | 7.05833333333333 | 0.992703651594904 | 0.999024769977157 |
60 | 7.2 | 7.04062946028296 | 6.9625 | 1.01122146646793 | 1.02263583684045 |
61 | 7.3 | 7.18635572094498 | 6.94166666666667 | 1.03524932354549 | 1.01581389559159 |
62 | 7.1 | 7.18660015985603 | 6.975 | 1.03033694048115 | 0.987949773477064 |
63 | 6.8 | 7.0471603157528 | 7.02083333333333 | 1.00374983725856 | 0.964927672327772 |
64 | 6.4 | 6.81945675883169 | 7.0375 | 0.96901694619278 | 0.93849117698584 |
65 | 6.1 | 6.60861316019057 | 7.01666666666667 | 0.941845105965402 | 0.92303783746121 |
66 | 6.5 | 6.54316904896766 | 6.9875 | 0.936410597347787 | 0.993402424934371 |
67 | 7.7 | NA | NA | 1.01890113442287 | NA |
68 | 7.9 | NA | NA | 1.03016532249218 | NA |
69 | 7.5 | NA | NA | 1.02449984529254 | NA |
70 | 6.9 | NA | NA | 1.00589982893839 | NA |
71 | 6.6 | NA | NA | 0.992703651594904 | NA |
72 | 6.9 | NA | NA | 1.01122146646793 | NA |