Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[36])
24	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	90.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	122.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	123.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	124.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	120	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	118.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	142.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	123.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	129.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	151.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	110.4	101.3203	85.9478	116.6927	0.1235	0	0.9059	0
38	99.2	100.606	85.2193	115.9927	0.4289	0.1061	0.901	0
39	130.5	132.6173	116.3913	148.8433	0.3991	1	0.8914	0.0109
40	136.2	134.4756	116.9262	152.0251	0.4236	0.6715	0.894	0.0279
41	129.7	134.5357	116.1092	152.9622	0.3035	0.4297	0.8619	0.0348
42	128	130.5132	111.4953	149.5311	0.3978	0.5334	0.8607	0.0149
43	121.6	128.7254	108.8102	148.6406	0.2416	0.5285	0.8522	0.0122
44	135.8	129.5495	108.873	150.2259	0.2768	0.7744	0.8414	0.0183
45	143.8	153.1918	131.8364	174.5472	0.1943	0.9448	0.8322	0.5581
46	147.5	134.1699	112.116	156.2239	0.1181	0.196	0.8262	0.0607
47	136.2	140.1476	117.4034	162.8919	0.3669	0.2632	0.8183	0.1618
48	156.6	162.1328	138.7439	185.5217	0.3214	0.9851	0.8113	0.8113
49	123.3	111.8642	80.525	143.2034	0.2372	0.0026	0.5365	0.0065
50	104.5	111.1534	79.2124	143.0944	0.3415	0.228	0.7684	0.0065
51	139.8	143.1577	109.4907	176.8246	0.4225	0.9878	0.7694	0.3115
52	136.5	145.0181	109.2179	180.8183	0.3205	0.6124	0.6854	0.3593
53	112.1	145.0798	107.5939	182.5657	0.0423	0.6731	0.7893	0.3666
54	118.5	141.056	102.2072	179.9047	0.1276	0.928	0.745	0.2974
55	94.4	139.268	98.7805	179.7555	0.0149	0.8426	0.8038	0.2753
56	102.3	140.0927	98.1237	182.0617	0.0388	0.9836	0.5794	0.2955
57	111.4	163.7348	120.3894	207.0801	0.009	0.9973	0.8163	0.7084
58	99.2	144.7128	99.9935	189.432	0.023	0.9279	0.4514	0.3814
59	87.8	150.6906	104.6254	196.7559	0.0037	0.9858	0.7312	0.4846
60	115.8	172.6758	125.3276	220.0239	0.0093	0.9998	0.7471	0.8085

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
37	0.0774	0.0896	0	82.4416	0	0
38	0.078	-0.014	0.0518	1.9768	42.2092	6.4969
39	0.0624	-0.016	0.0399	4.483	29.6338	5.4437
40	0.0666	0.0128	0.0331	2.9735	22.9687	4.7926
41	0.0699	-0.0359	0.0337	23.3841	23.0518	4.8012
42	0.0743	-0.0193	0.0313	6.3162	20.2625	4.5014
43	0.0789	-0.0554	0.0347	50.7716	24.621	4.962
44	0.0814	0.0482	0.0364	39.0694	26.427	5.1407
45	0.0711	-0.0613	0.0392	88.2056	33.2913	5.7699
46	0.0839	0.0994	0.0452	177.6904	47.7312	6.9088
47	0.0828	-0.0282	0.0436	15.5839	44.8087	6.6939
48	0.0736	-0.0341	0.0428	30.6116	43.6256	6.605
49	0.1429	0.1022	0.0474	130.7781	50.3297	7.0943
50	0.1466	-0.0599	0.0483	44.2673	49.8966	7.0638
51	0.12	-0.0235	0.0466	11.2738	47.3218	6.8791
52	0.126	-0.0587	0.0474	72.5583	48.8991	6.9928
53	0.1318	-0.2273	0.058	1087.6659	110.003	10.4882
54	0.1405	-0.1599	0.0636	508.7717	132.1568	11.4959
55	0.1483	-0.3222	0.0773	2013.1357	231.1557	15.2038
56	0.1528	-0.2698	0.0869	1428.2863	291.0122	17.0591
57	0.1351	-0.3196	0.098	2738.9291	407.5797	20.1886
58	0.1577	-0.3145	0.1078	2071.4137	483.2085	21.982
59	0.156	-0.4173	0.1213	3955.2316	634.166	25.1827
60	0.1399	-0.3294	0.1299	3234.8534	742.528	27.2494