Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[32])
20	105.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	106.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	117.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	144.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	195.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	109.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	84.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	102.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	93.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	104.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	115.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	104.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	114.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	115.1	114.3724	65.7392	163.0056	0.4883	0.4915	0.6245	0.4915
34	126.4	110.4728	54.0386	166.907	0.2901	0.4362	0.4022	0.4389
35	156.7	110.9939	54.4604	167.5274	0.0565	0.2966	0.1248	0.4461
36	197.3	110.9195	54.2728	167.5661	0.0014	0.0566	0.0017	0.4452
37	116.1	110.1983	53.4113	166.9854	0.4193	0.0013	0.5096	0.4355
38	89.1	111.2124	54.4978	167.927	0.2224	0.4329	0.8184	0.4493
39	107.8	110.052	53.0829	167.0211	0.4691	0.7645	0.5972	0.4338
40	100.4	111.1974	54.2913	168.1034	0.355	0.5466	0.7243	0.4493
41	113.6	110.1507	53.0153	167.286	0.4529	0.631	0.5755	0.4353
42	128.3	111.0491	53.9769	168.1212	0.2768	0.4651	0.4433	0.4474
43	113.3	110.3167	53.0981	167.5354	0.4593	0.2689	0.5736	0.4376
44	113.7	110.8848	53.7204	168.0493	0.4616	0.467	0.4453	0.4453
45	116.1	110.4663	53.2271	167.7055	0.4235	0.4559	0.437	0.4397
46	133.6	110.7566	53.5519	167.9613	0.2169	0.4274	0.296	0.4436
47	167.7	110.5707	53.3356	167.8057	0.0252	0.2152	0.0571	0.4411
48	214.6	110.6757	53.4553	167.8962	2e-04	0.0254	0.0015	0.4425
49	120.3	110.6301	53.4023	167.858	0.3703	2e-04	0.4257	0.4419
50	106	110.6346	53.4079	167.8612	0.4369	0.3703	0.7696	0.4419
51	103.9	110.6564	53.4324	167.8805	0.4085	0.5634	0.539	0.4422
52	118	110.6198	53.3908	167.8487	0.4002	0.591	0.6368	0.4417
53	116.3	110.6628	53.4395	167.8861	0.4234	0.4008	0.4599	0.4423
54	134.8	110.6193	53.3899	167.8487	0.2038	0.4229	0.2724	0.4417
55	117.8	110.6596	53.4357	167.8835	0.4034	0.2042	0.464	0.4423
56	123.3	110.6246	53.3957	167.8535	0.3321	0.4029	0.4581	0.4418
57	125.2	110.6534	53.4285	167.8783	0.3092	0.3325	0.426	0.4422
58	135.8	110.6308	53.4026	167.859	0.1943	0.3089	0.2157	0.4419
59	158.9	110.6476	53.4218	167.8734	0.0492	0.1945	0.0253	0.4421
60	217.9	110.6358	53.4083	167.8633	1e-04	0.0492	2e-04	0.4419

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
33	0.2169	0.0064	0	0.5294	0	0
34	0.2606	0.1442	0.0753	253.676	127.1027	11.274
35	0.2599	0.4118	0.1874	2089.0475	781.0843	27.9479
36	0.2606	0.7788	0.3353	7461.5978	2451.2127	49.5097
37	0.2629	0.0536	0.2789	34.8299	1967.9361	44.3614
38	0.2602	-0.1988	0.2656	488.9587	1721.4399	41.4902
39	0.2641	-0.0205	0.2306	5.0714	1476.2444	38.4219
40	0.2611	-0.0971	0.2139	116.583	1306.2867	36.1426
41	0.2646	0.0313	0.1936	11.898	1162.4657	34.095
42	0.2622	0.1553	0.1898	297.5951	1075.9787	32.8021
43	0.2646	0.027	0.175	8.8999	978.9715	31.2885
44	0.263	0.0254	0.1625	7.9251	898.051	29.9675
45	0.2644	0.051	0.1539	31.7387	831.4116	28.8342
46	0.2635	0.2062	0.1577	521.8205	809.2979	28.4482
47	0.2641	0.5167	0.1816	3263.7611	972.9288	31.1918
48	0.2638	0.939	0.2289	10800.25	1587.1364	39.8389
49	0.2639	0.0874	0.2206	93.5061	1499.2758	38.7205
50	0.2639	-0.0419	0.2107	21.4792	1417.176	37.6454
51	0.2638	-0.0611	0.2028	45.6496	1344.9904	36.6741
52	0.264	0.0667	0.196	54.4677	1280.4642	35.7836
53	0.2638	0.0509	0.1891	31.7781	1221.003	34.9429
54	0.264	0.2186	0.1904	584.7077	1192.0805	34.5265
55	0.2638	0.0645	0.185	50.9857	1142.4677	33.8004
56	0.2639	0.1146	0.182	160.6665	1101.5593	33.1897
57	0.2639	0.1315	0.18	211.6038	1065.9611	32.6491
58	0.2639	0.2275	0.1818	633.4883	1049.3275	32.3933
59	0.2639	0.4361	0.1913	2328.2913	1096.6965	33.1164
60	0.2639	0.9695	0.219	11505.6077	1468.4434	38.3203