Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	172.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	184.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	177.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	184.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	211.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	215.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	215.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	244.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	259.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	289	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	310.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	321	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	315.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	333.2	311.1506	293.0684	329.2329	0.0084	0.3343	1	0.3343
50	314.1	311.1506	279.219	343.0822	0.4282	0.088	1	0.4042
51	284.7	311.1506	269.7708	352.5304	0.1051	0.4444	1	0.4258
52	273.9	311.1506	262.1103	360.1909	0.0683	0.8548	1	0.4373
53	216	311.1506	255.4945	366.8068	4e-04	0.9052	0.9996	0.4447
54	196.4	311.1506	249.5855	372.7158	1e-04	0.9988	0.9988	0.45
55	190.9	311.1506	244.1959	378.1053	2e-04	0.9996	0.9741	0.454
56	206.4	311.1506	239.2091	383.0922	0.0022	0.9995	0.9211	0.4572
57	196.3	311.1506	234.5461	387.7551	0.0016	0.9963	0.7146	0.4598
58	199.5	311.1506	230.1512	392.1501	0.0034	0.9973	0.5024	0.4619
59	198.9	311.1506	225.9827	396.3185	0.0049	0.9949	0.4103	0.4638
60	214.4	311.1506	222.009	400.2923	0.0167	0.9932	0.4654	0.4654

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0297	0.0709	0	486.1749	0	0
50	0.0524	0.0095	0.0402	8.6988	247.4369	15.7301
51	0.0679	-0.085	0.0551	699.6356	398.1698	19.9542
52	0.0804	-0.1197	0.0713	1387.6091	645.5296	25.4073
53	0.0913	-0.3058	0.1182	9053.6415	2327.152	48.2406
54	0.101	-0.3688	0.1599	13167.706	4133.911	64.2955
55	0.1098	-0.3865	0.1923	14460.2128	5609.0969	74.8939
56	0.118	-0.3367	0.2103	10972.6935	6279.5465	79.2436
57	0.1256	-0.3691	0.228	13190.6661	7047.4487	83.9491
58	0.1328	-0.3588	0.2411	12465.8621	7589.29	87.1165
59	0.1397	-0.3608	0.252	12600.2028	8044.8276	89.693
60	0.1462	-0.3109	0.2569	9360.6835	8154.4822	90.3022