Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	117.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	92.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	104.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	112.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	122.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	113.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	110.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	112.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	109.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	117.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	109.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	115.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	96	95.9815	86.7419	105.221	0.4984	0	0.7699	0
51	99.8	103.1655	93.4915	112.8396	0.2477	0.9267	0.417	0.0049
52	116.8	112.5	101.5251	123.4749	0.2213	0.9883	0.5	0.2719
53	115.7	122.4	111.4251	133.3749	0.1157	0.8414	0.5	0.8771
54	99.4	113.3	102.3251	124.2749	0.0065	0.3341	0.5	0.3212
55	94.3	100	89.0251	110.9749	0.1543	0.5427	0.5	0.0023
56	91	110.7	99.7251	121.6749	2e-04	0.9983	0.5	0.1765
57	93.2	112.8	101.8251	123.7749	2e-04	1	0.5	0.2899
58	103.1	109.8	98.8251	120.7749	0.1157	0.9985	0.5	0.138
59	94.1	117.3	106.3251	128.2749	0	0.9944	0.5	0.5987
60	91.8	109.1	98.1251	120.0749	0.001	0.9963	0.5	0.1123
61	102.7	115.9	104.9251	126.8749	0.0092	1	0.5	0.5

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.0491	2e-04	0	3e-04	0	0
51	0.0478	-0.0326	0.0164	11.3269	5.6636	2.3798
52	0.0498	0.0382	0.0237	18.49	9.9391	3.1526
53	0.0457	-0.0547	0.0314	44.89	18.6768	4.3217
54	0.0494	-0.1227	0.0497	193.21	53.5834	7.3201
55	0.056	-0.057	0.0509	32.49	50.0679	7.0759
56	0.0506	-0.178	0.0691	388.09	98.3567	9.9175
57	0.0496	-0.1738	0.0821	384.16	134.0822	11.5794
58	0.051	-0.061	0.0798	44.89	124.1719	11.1432
59	0.0477	-0.1978	0.0916	538.24	165.5787	12.8677
60	0.0513	-0.1586	0.0977	299.29	177.7343	13.3317
61	0.0483	-0.1139	0.099	174.24	177.4431	13.3208