Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	102	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	106	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	105.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	118.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	106.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	109.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	117.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	92.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	104.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	112.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	122.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	113.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	110.7	106.3225	99.8003	112.8447	0.0942	0.9713	0.5386	0.9713
50	112.8	102.8384	96.2987	109.3781	0.0014	0.0092	0.2303	0.8025
51	109.8	113.0595	106.0918	120.0273	0.1796	0.5291	0.0532	0.9999
52	117.3	108.3652	100.9428	115.7875	0.0092	0.3524	0.7251	0.9864
53	109.1	103.3877	95.9503	110.8251	0.0661	1e-04	0.0596	0.814
54	115.9	117.3533	109.6603	125.0462	0.3556	0.9823	0.5156	1
55	96	90.0393	82.2582	97.8205	0.0666	0	0.2677	0.0061
56	99.8	101.5473	93.721	109.3737	0.3308	0.9176	0.2532	0.6508
57	116.8	112.6161	104.6923	120.54	0.1504	0.9992	0.5115	0.9991
58	115.7	116.412	108.454	124.3699	0.4304	0.4619	0.0701	1
59	99.4	111.4328	103.4376	119.4279	0.0016	0.1478	0.3236	0.9975
60	94.3	100.8777	92.8462	108.9092	0.0542	0.6408	0.5848	0.5848

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0313	0.0412	0	19.1624	0	0
50	0.0324	0.0969	0.069	99.2338	59.1981	7.694
51	0.0314	-0.0288	0.0556	10.6245	43.0069	6.558
52	0.0349	0.0825	0.0623	79.8314	52.213	7.2259
53	0.0367	0.0553	0.0609	32.6305	48.2965	6.9496
54	0.0334	-0.0124	0.0528	2.112	40.5991	6.3717
55	0.0441	0.0662	0.0547	35.5298	39.8749	6.3147
56	0.0393	-0.0172	0.05	3.0531	35.2722	5.939
57	0.0359	0.0372	0.0486	17.5046	33.298	5.7704
58	0.0349	-0.0061	0.0444	0.5069	30.0189	5.479
59	0.0366	-0.108	0.0501	144.7871	40.4524	6.3602
60	0.0406	-0.0652	0.0514	43.266	40.6868	6.3786