Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	102	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	106	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	105.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	118.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	106.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	109.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	117.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	92.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	104.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	112.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	122.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	113.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	110.7	106	96.3962	115.6038	0.1687	0.8896	0.5	0.8896
50	112.8	105.3	95.6962	114.9038	0.0629	0.1352	0.5	0.8603
51	109.8	118.8	109.1962	128.4038	0.0331	0.8896	0.5	0.9999
52	117.3	106.1	96.4962	115.7038	0.0111	0.2251	0.5	0.8934
53	109.1	109.3	99.6962	118.9038	0.4837	0.0513	0.5	0.9712
54	115.9	117.2	107.5962	126.8038	0.3954	0.9508	0.5	0.9998
55	96	92.5	82.8962	102.1038	0.2375	0	0.5	0.0629
56	99.8	104.2	94.5962	113.8038	0.1846	0.9529	0.5	0.8043
57	116.8	112.5	102.8962	122.1038	0.1901	0.9952	0.5	0.9946
58	115.7	122.4	112.7962	132.0038	0.0858	0.8735	0.5	1
59	99.4	113.3	103.6962	122.9038	0.0023	0.3121	0.5	0.9967
60	94.3	100	90.3962	109.6038	0.1224	0.5487	0.5	0.5

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0462	0.0443	0	22.09	0	0
50	0.0465	0.0712	0.0578	56.25	39.17	6.2586
51	0.0412	-0.0758	0.0638	81	53.1133	7.2879
52	0.0462	0.1056	0.0742	125.44	71.195	8.4377
53	0.0448	-0.0018	0.0597	0.04	56.964	7.5474
54	0.0418	-0.0111	0.0516	1.69	47.7517	6.9103
55	0.053	0.0378	0.0497	12.25	42.68	6.533
56	0.047	-0.0422	0.0487	19.36	39.765	6.3059
57	0.0436	0.0382	0.0476	18.49	37.4011	6.1156
58	0.04	-0.0547	0.0483	44.89	38.15	6.1766
59	0.0432	-0.1227	0.055	193.21	52.2464	7.2282
60	0.049	-0.057	0.0552	32.49	50.6	7.1134