Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
48	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	16	16.031	12.8259	19.2361	0.4924	0.5076	0.1143	0.5076
62	17	15.9659	11.4331	20.4986	0.3274	0.4941	0.0405	0.4941
63	16	15.9349	10.3834	21.4863	0.4908	0.3534	0.0369	0.4908
64	15	16.0301	9.6198	22.4404	0.3764	0.5037	0.2735	0.5037
65	16	16	8.8331	23.1669	0.5	0.6078	0.206	0.5
66	16	15.9969	8.146	23.8479	0.4997	0.4997	0.2267	0.4997
67	16	15.999	7.519	24.479	0.4999	0.4999	0.244	0.4999
68	18	15.937	6.8715	25.0025	0.3278	0.4946	0.1368	0.4946
69	19	16.0032	6.3878	25.6187	0.2706	0.342	0.2706	0.5003
70	16	16.0022	5.8666	26.1377	0.4998	0.2811	0.2811	0.5002
71	16	16.0652	5.435	26.6955	0.4952	0.5048	0.4316	0.5048
72	16	16.0963	4.9933	27.1992	0.4932	0.5068	0.5068	0.5068

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.102	-0.0019	0	0.001	0	0
62	0.1448	0.0648	0.0334	1.0695	0.5352	0.7316
63	0.1777	0.0041	0.0236	0.0042	0.3582	0.5985
64	0.204	-0.0643	0.0338	1.061	0.5339	0.7307
65	0.2285	0	0.027	0	0.4271	0.6536
66	0.2504	2e-04	0.0225	0	0.356	0.5966
67	0.2704	1e-04	0.0193	0	0.3051	0.5524
68	0.2902	0.1294	0.0331	4.2561	0.799	0.8939
69	0.3066	0.1873	0.0502	8.9805	1.708	1.3069
70	0.3232	-1e-04	0.0452	0	1.5372	1.2399
71	0.3376	-0.0041	0.0415	0.0043	1.3979	1.1823
72	0.3519	-0.006	0.0385	0.0093	1.2822	1.1323