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Author's title

Author*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Modulerwasp_grangercausality.wasp
Title produced by softwareBivariate Granger Causality
Date of computationFri, 11 Dec 2009 06:31:30 -0700
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2009/Dec/11/t1260538445kz0musvcn74eau3.htm/, Retrieved Mon, 29 Apr 2024 06:35:43 +0000
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=66180, Retrieved Mon, 29 Apr 2024 06:35:43 +0000
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Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywords
Estimated Impact124
Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
-     [Univariate Data Series] [data set] [2008-12-01 19:54:57] [b98453cac15ba1066b407e146608df68]
- RMP   [ARIMA Backward Selection] [] [2009-11-27 14:53:14] [b98453cac15ba1066b407e146608df68]
-   PD    [ARIMA Backward Selection] [WS 9, ARIMA Backw...] [2009-12-04 14:51:18] [96e597a9107bfe8c07649cce3d4f6fec]
- RMPD        [Bivariate Granger Causality] [WS 10, Granger Ca...] [2009-12-11 13:31:30] [e31f2fa83f4a5291b9a51009566cf69b] [Current]
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Dataseries X:
93.8
93.8
107.6
101
95.4
96.5
89.2
87.1
110.5
110.8
104.2
88.9
89.8
90
93.9
91.3
87.8
99.7
73.5
79.2
96.9
95.2
95.6
89.7
92.8
88
101.1
92.7
95.8
103.8
81.8
87.1
105.9
108.1
102.6
93.7
103.5
100.6
113.3
102.4
102.1
106.9
87.3
93.1
109.1
120.3
104.9
92.6
109.8
111.4
117.9
121.6
117.8
124.2
106.8
102.7
116.8
113.6
96.1
85
Dataseries Y:
95.1
97
112.7
102.9
97.4
111.4
87.4
96.8
114.1
110.3
103.9
101.6
94.6
95.9
104.7
102.8
98.1
113.9
80.9
95.7
113.2
105.9
108.8
102.3
99
100.7
115.5
100.7
109.9
114.6
85.4
100.5
114.8
116.5
112.9
102
106
105.3
118.8
106.1
109.3
117.2
92.5
104.2
112.5
122.4
113.3
100
110.7
112.8
109.8
117.3
109.1
115.9
96
99.8
116.8
115.7
99.4
94.3




Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time4 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 4 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=66180&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]4 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=66180&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=66180&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time4 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135







Granger Causality Test: Y = f(X)
ModelRes.DFDiff. DFFp-value
Complete model38
Reduced model41-31.230080717916840.312130645091778

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Granger Causality Test: Y = f(X) \tabularnewline
Model & Res.DF & Diff. DF & F & p-value \tabularnewline
Complete model & 38 &  &  &  \tabularnewline
Reduced model & 41 & -3 & 1.23008071791684 & 0.312130645091778 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=66180&T=1

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Granger Causality Test: Y = f(X)[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Model[/C][C]Res.DF[/C][C]Diff. DF[/C][C]F[/C][C]p-value[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Complete model[/C][C]38[/C][C][/C][C][/C][C][/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Reduced model[/C][C]41[/C][C]-3[/C][C]1.23008071791684[/C][C]0.312130645091778[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=66180&T=1

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=66180&T=1

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Granger Causality Test: Y = f(X)
ModelRes.DFDiff. DFFp-value
Complete model38
Reduced model41-31.230080717916840.312130645091778







Granger Causality Test: X = f(Y)
ModelRes.DFDiff. DFFp-value
Complete model38
Reduced model41-32.019158679426630.127552211588318

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Granger Causality Test: X = f(Y) \tabularnewline
Model & Res.DF & Diff. DF & F & p-value \tabularnewline
Complete model & 38 &  &  &  \tabularnewline
Reduced model & 41 & -3 & 2.01915867942663 & 0.127552211588318 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=66180&T=2

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Granger Causality Test: X = f(Y)[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Model[/C][C]Res.DF[/C][C]Diff. DF[/C][C]F[/C][C]p-value[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Complete model[/C][C]38[/C][C][/C][C][/C][C][/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Reduced model[/C][C]41[/C][C]-3[/C][C]2.01915867942663[/C][C]0.127552211588318[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=66180&T=2

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=66180&T=2

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Granger Causality Test: X = f(Y)
ModelRes.DFDiff. DFFp-value
Complete model38
Reduced model41-32.019158679426630.127552211588318



Parameters (Session):
par1 = -1.0 ; par2 = 1 ; par3 = 1 ; par4 = 12 ; par5 = 1 ; par6 = 0 ; par7 = 1 ; par8 = 6 ;
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = 0 ; par3 = 1 ; par4 = 12 ; par5 = 1 ; par6 = 0 ; par7 = 1 ; par8 = 3 ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
library(lmtest)
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
par2 <- as.numeric(par2)
par3 <- as.numeric(par3)
par4 <- as.numeric(par4)
par5 <- as.numeric(par5)
par6 <- as.numeric(par6)
par7 <- as.numeric(par7)
par8 <- as.numeric(par8)
ox <- x
oy <- y
if (par1 == 0) {
x <- log(x)
} else {
x <- (x ^ par1 - 1) / par1
}
if (par5 == 0) {
y <- log(y)
} else {
y <- (y ^ par5 - 1) / par5
}
if (par2 > 0) x <- diff(x,lag=1,difference=par2)
if (par6 > 0) y <- diff(y,lag=1,difference=par6)
if (par3 > 0) x <- diff(x,lag=par4,difference=par3)
if (par7 > 0) y <- diff(y,lag=par4,difference=par7)
x
y
(gyx <- grangertest(y ~ x, order=par8))
(gxy <- grangertest(x ~ y, order=par8))
bitmap(file='test1.png')
op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1))
(r <- ccf(ox,oy,main='Cross Correlation Function (raw data)',ylab='CCF',xlab='Lag (k)'))
(r <- ccf(x,y,main='Cross Correlation Function (transformed and differenced)',ylab='CCF',xlab='Lag (k)'))
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1))
acf(ox,lag.max=round(length(x)/2),main='ACF of x (raw)')
acf(x,lag.max=round(length(x)/2),main='ACF of x (transformed and differenced)')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1))
acf(oy,lag.max=round(length(y)/2),main='ACF of y (raw)')
acf(y,lag.max=round(length(y)/2),main='ACF of y (transformed and differenced)')
par(op)
dev.off()
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Granger Causality Test: Y = f(X)',5,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Model',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Res.DF',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Diff. DF',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'F',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Complete model',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,gyx$Res.Df[1])
a<-table.element(a,'')
a<-table.element(a,'')
a<-table.element(a,'')
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Reduced model',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,gyx$Res.Df[2])
a<-table.element(a,gyx$Df[2])
a<-table.element(a,gyx$F[2])
a<-table.element(a,gyx$Pr[2])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Granger Causality Test: X = f(Y)',5,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Model',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Res.DF',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Diff. DF',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'F',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Complete model',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,gxy$Res.Df[1])
a<-table.element(a,'')
a<-table.element(a,'')
a<-table.element(a,'')
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Reduced model',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,gxy$Res.Df[2])
a<-table.element(a,gxy$Df[2])
a<-table.element(a,gxy$F[2])
a<-table.element(a,gxy$Pr[2])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')