Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[96])
84	123.1576893	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	116.3400234	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
86	108.6119282	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
87	125.8982264	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	112.8003105	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	107.5182447	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
90	135.0955413	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
91	115.5096488	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
92	115.8640759	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
93	104.5883906	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
94	163.7213386	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
95	113.4482275	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
96	98.0428844	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	116.7869	107.3485	77.0707	137.6262	0.2706	0.7265	0.2803	0.7265
98	126.533	99.6204	67.9747	131.266	0.0478	0.1438	0.2888	0.5389
99	113.0337	116.9067	83.9498	149.8635	0.4089	0.2835	0.2964	0.869
100	124.3392	103.8088	69.5909	138.0266	0.1198	0.2986	0.3033	0.6294
101	109.8299	98.5267	63.0927	133.9607	0.2659	0.0767	0.3095	0.5107
102	124.4435	126.104	89.4942	162.7137	0.4646	0.8082	0.3151	0.9335
103	111.5039	106.5181	68.7692	144.267	0.3979	0.176	0.3203	0.67
104	102.035	106.8725	68.0178	145.7272	0.4036	0.4076	0.3251	0.672
105	116.8727	95.5968	55.667	135.5267	0.1482	0.376	0.3295	0.4522
106	112.2073	154.7298	113.753	195.7066	0.021	0.9649	0.3336	0.9967
107	101.1514	104.4567	62.459	146.4544	0.4387	0.3588	0.3374	0.6177
108	124.4255	89.0513	46.057	132.0457	0.0534	0.2906	0.3409	0.3409

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
97	0.1439	0.0879	0	89.0831	0	0
98	0.1621	0.2702	0.179	724.2919	406.6875	20.1665
99	0.1438	-0.0331	0.1304	15.0002	276.1251	16.617
100	0.1682	0.1978	0.1472	421.4999	312.4688	17.6768
101	0.1835	0.1147	0.1407	127.762	275.5274	16.599
102	0.1481	-0.0132	0.1195	2.7573	230.0657	15.1679
103	0.1808	0.0468	0.1091	24.8587	200.7505	14.1686
104	0.1855	-0.0453	0.1011	23.4016	178.5818	13.3635
105	0.2131	0.2226	0.1146	452.6607	209.0351	14.458
106	0.1351	-0.2748	0.1306	1808.1605	368.9476	19.208
107	0.2051	-0.0316	0.1216	10.9249	336.4001	18.3412
108	0.2463	0.3972	0.1446	1251.3328	412.6445	20.3137