Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[212])
200	230	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
201	230.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
202	230.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
203	231	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
204	231.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
205	231.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
206	233	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
207	235.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
208	236	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
209	236.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
210	237.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
211	237.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
212	238.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
213	238.9	238.5618	237.9173	239.2064	0.1519	0.8644	1	0.8644
214	239.1	238.9931	238.0141	239.9721	0.4153	0.5739	1	0.9438
215	240	239.2994	238.0072	240.5917	0.144	0.6189	1	0.9523
216	240.2	239.6442	238.0852	241.2032	0.2423	0.3273	1	0.9653
217	240.5	239.8947	238.0987	241.6906	0.2544	0.3695	1	0.9678
218	240.7	240.5078	238.4997	242.5159	0.4256	0.503	1	0.9879
219	241.1	241.3397	239.1382	243.5412	0.4155	0.7155	1	0.9974
220	241.4	241.9953	239.6155	244.3752	0.312	0.7695	1	0.9991
221	242.2	242.4786	239.9326	245.0245	0.4151	0.7968	1	0.9995
222	242.9	242.8067	240.1047	245.5088	0.473	0.6701	1	0.9996
223	243.2	243.2021	240.3525	246.0517	0.4994	0.5823	1	0.9997
224	243.9	243.5786	240.5887	246.5686	0.4166	0.598	0.9998	0.9998

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
213	0.0014	0.0014	1e-04	0.1144	0.0095	0.0976
214	0.0021	4e-04	0	0.0114	0.001	0.0309
215	0.0028	0.0029	2e-04	0.4908	0.0409	0.2022
216	0.0033	0.0023	2e-04	0.3089	0.0257	0.1604
217	0.0038	0.0025	2e-04	0.3664	0.0305	0.1747
218	0.0043	8e-04	1e-04	0.0369	0.0031	0.0555
219	0.0047	-0.001	1e-04	0.0575	0.0048	0.0692
220	0.005	-0.0025	2e-04	0.3544	0.0295	0.1719
221	0.0054	-0.0011	1e-04	0.0776	0.0065	0.0804
222	0.0057	4e-04	0	0.0087	7e-04	0.0269
223	0.006	0	0	0	0	6e-04
224	0.0063	0.0013	1e-04	0.1033	0.0086	0.0928