Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 15859.4 | NA | NA | 1.11033803352377 | NA |
2 | 15258.9 | NA | NA | 1.00030595448686 | NA |
3 | 15498.6 | NA | NA | 0.99531399743087 | NA |
4 | 15106.5 | NA | NA | 1.06043625305120 | NA |
5 | 15023.6 | NA | NA | 0.956804451872642 | NA |
6 | 12083 | NA | NA | 0.830761475963053 | NA |
7 | 15761.3 | 15900.9893411254 | 14985.5958333333 | 1.06108489231745 | 0.99121505347066 |
8 | 16942.6 | 15717.5466506426 | 14996.0291666667 | 1.04811390241756 | 1.07794176639567 |
9 | 15070.3 | 15681.564751243 | 14978.1125 | 1.04696534701839 | 0.96102016852658 |
10 | 13659.6 | 14728.8550086994 | 14970.675 | 0.98384708830426 | 0.927404064466122 |
11 | 14768.9 | 14004.0085687924 | 14989.0666666667 | 0.934281558700059 | 1.05461946323798 |
12 | 14725.1 | 14553.3898628828 | 14976.5208333333 | 0.971747044913876 | 1.01179863514515 |
13 | 15998.1 | 16635.6164552275 | 14982.4791666667 | 1.11033803352377 | 0.96167761760177 |
14 | 15370.6 | 14999.8253601946 | 14995.2375 | 1.00030595448686 | 1.02471859711042 |
15 | 14956.9 | 14911.8026037926 | 14982.0083333333 | 0.99531399743087 | 1.00302427529425 |
16 | 15469.7 | 15936.0681084467 | 15027.8416666667 | 1.06043625305120 | 0.970735058028551 |
17 | 15101.8 | 14419.2025571294 | 15070.1666666667 | 0.956804451872642 | 1.04733947249622 |
18 | 11703.7 | 12533.3903138072 | 15086.6291666667 | 0.830761475963053 | 0.933801605708135 |
19 | 16283.6 | 16118.127100777 | 15190.2333333333 | 1.06108489231745 | 1.01026626097365 |
20 | 16726.5 | 16048.3794367995 | 15311.675 | 1.04811390241756 | 1.04225476883015 |
21 | 14968.9 | 16095.0157291362 | 15373.0166666667 | 1.04696534701839 | 0.930033263210946 |
22 | 14861 | 15242.1116372162 | 15492.3583333333 | 0.98384708830426 | 0.9749961392301 |
23 | 14583.3 | 14599.2549211996 | 15626.1833333333 | 0.934281558700059 | 0.998907141406485 |
24 | 15305.8 | 15305.105034206 | 15750.0916666667 | 0.971747044913876 | 1.00004540745016 |
25 | 17903.9 | 17659.2139562907 | 15904.3583333333 | 1.11033803352377 | 1.01385599859172 |
26 | 16379.4 | 16021.1377397257 | 16016.2375 | 1.00030595448686 | 1.02236184883337 |
27 | 15420.3 | 16090.4244095586 | 16166.1791666667 | 0.99531399743087 | 0.958352595773636 |
28 | 17870.5 | 17333.0470618569 | 16345.2041666667 | 1.06043625305120 | 1.03100741238543 |
29 | 15912.8 | 15768.7871965514 | 16480.6791666667 | 0.956804451872642 | 1.00913277613894 |
30 | 13866.5 | 13784.4790200400 | 16592.5833333333 | 0.830761475963053 | 1.00595024156087 |
31 | 17823.2 | 17716.5542249381 | 16696.6416666667 | 1.06108489231745 | 1.00601955514079 |
32 | 17872 | 17616.9736017338 | 16808.2625 | 1.04811390241756 | 1.01447617530863 |
33 | 17422 | 17739.3751408076 | 16943.6125 | 1.04696534701839 | 0.982109001118222 |
34 | 16704.5 | 16772.6169626853 | 17047.9916666667 | 0.98384708830426 | 0.99593879936346 |
35 | 15991.2 | 15968.9389361326 | 17092.2125 | 0.934281558700059 | 1.00139402273103 |
36 | 16583.6 | 16674.9161092308 | 17159.7291666667 | 0.971747044913876 | 0.994523744009708 |
37 | 19123.5 | 19175.8848195910 | 17270.3125 | 1.11033803352377 | 0.997268192832622 |
38 | 17838.7 | 17327.8374080719 | 17322.5375 | 1.00030595448686 | 1.02948218983692 |
39 | 17209.4 | 17305.3378519560 | 17386.8125 | 0.99531399743087 | 0.994456169953066 |
40 | 18586.5 | 18570.3331525263 | 17511.975 | 1.06043625305120 | 1.00087057390629 |
41 | 16258.1 | 16869.5588249491 | 17631.1458333333 | 0.956804451872642 | 0.963753715713964 |
42 | 15141.6 | 14740.4777885044 | 17743.3333333333 | 0.830761475963053 | 1.02721229374318 |
43 | 19202.1 | 18964.9957609295 | 17873.2125 | 1.06108489231745 | 1.01250220364188 |
44 | 17746.5 | 18789.0706445249 | 17926.5541666667 | 1.04811390241756 | 0.944511856693206 |
45 | 19090.1 | 18836.5948244829 | 17991.6125 | 1.04696534701839 | 1.01345812116676 |
46 | 18040.3 | 17841.9726610518 | 18134.9041666667 | 0.98384708830426 | 1.01111577417564 |
47 | 17515.5 | 17041.4279872432 | 18240.1416666667 | 0.934281558700059 | 1.02781879623654 |
48 | 17751.8 | 17819.5733939490 | 18337.6666666667 | 0.971747044913876 | 0.996196688189402 |
49 | 21072.4 | 20420.5182382694 | 18391.2625 | 1.11033803352377 | 1.0319228804149 |
50 | 17170 | 18498.92476458 | 18493.2666666667 | 1.00030595448686 | 0.928162053660302 |
51 | 19439.5 | 18533.3728505528 | 18620.6291666667 | 0.99531399743087 | 1.04889164842006 |
52 | 19795.4 | 19753.6872227593 | 18627.8875 | 1.06043625305120 | 1.00211164512074 |
53 | 17574.9 | 17851.6229143512 | 18657.5458333333 | 0.956804451872642 | 0.984498725091895 |
54 | 16165.4 | 15577.1965165514 | 18750.5041666667 | 0.830761475963053 | 1.03776054842883 |
55 | 19464.6 | 19944.5318580853 | 18796.3583333333 | 1.06108489231745 | 0.975936669684693 |
56 | 19932.1 | NA | NA | 1.04811390241756 | NA |
57 | 19961.2 | NA | NA | 1.04696534701839 | NA |
58 | 17343.4 | NA | NA | 0.98384708830426 | NA |
59 | 18924.2 | NA | NA | 0.934281558700059 | NA |
60 | 18574.1 | NA | NA | 0.971747044913876 | NA |
61 | 21350.6 | NA | NA | NA | NA |