| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 7.55 | 7.55 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 7.55 | 7.55 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 7.59 | 7.58990771340992 | 0.0024007105550275 | 9.22865900841344e-05 | 1.06827691323131 |
| 4 | 7.59 | 7.58991278702805 | 0.00219907416585357 | 8.7212971953873e-05 | -0.0632927357523968 |
| 5 | 7.59 | 7.58991695269382 | 0.00197108996449322 | 8.30473061849324e-05 | -0.0573504975986414 |
| 6 | 7.57 | 7.56995361060425 | -0.000648120067153568 | 4.63893957548886e-05 | -0.568004021155119 |
| 7 | 7.57 | 7.56995267101184 | -0.00056314909751527 | 4.73289881560325e-05 | 0.0166419211157233 |
| 8 | 7.59 | 7.58992703343113 | 0.00231549072444540 | 7.29665688688694e-05 | 0.52529751643838 |
| 9 | 7.6 | 7.59991885630896 | 0.00344137092073834 | 8.1143691039594e-05 | 0.195559371745820 |
| 10 | 7.64 | 7.63988583759632 | 0.00897042770434947 | 0.000114162403681912 | 0.92778399049776 |
| 11 | 7.64 | 7.63989268665707 | 0.0075833444568994 | 0.000107313342932199 | -0.227196164587133 |
| 12 | 7.76 | 7.75982033421348 | 0.025237756223237 | 0.000179665786516509 | 2.84313202135591 |
| 13 | 7.76 | 7.76891938926894 | 0.0228611326116433 | -0.00891938926893606 | -0.479562959226583 |
| 14 | 7.76 | 7.75991451951649 | 0.0177995322003241 | 8.54804835116081e-05 | -0.682317175534645 |
| 15 | 7.77 | 7.76991195949442 | 0.0165450313109139 | 8.80405055766801e-05 | -0.196813177933444 |
| 16 | 7.83 | 7.82992391986315 | 0.0235602887687689 | 7.60801368530244e-05 | 1.09615309066543 |
| 17 | 7.94 | 7.93994386043161 | 0.0375509979587897 | 5.61395683930133e-05 | 2.17990158004761 |
| 18 | 7.94 | 7.93993660250133 | 0.0314621621198385 | 6.339749867429e-05 | -0.946823552635257 |
| 19 | 7.94 | 7.93993150872076 | 0.0263541445485271 | 6.84912792434782e-05 | -0.793200122860028 |
| 20 | 8.09 | 8.08994827422833 | 0.0464464389351056 | 5.17257716723804e-05 | 3.11699660771905 |
| 21 | 8.18 | 8.17995321954107 | 0.0535282486168987 | 4.67804589345699e-05 | 1.09787822891675 |
| 22 | 8.26 | 8.25995573634209 | 0.0578344357980684 | 4.42636579128188e-05 | 0.667259493580475 |
| 23 | 8.28 | 8.27995272455853 | 0.0516779852051912 | 4.72754414694701e-05 | -0.953644339934985 |
| 24 | 8.28 | 8.2799492803118 | 0.0432670971055187 | 5.07196881949043e-05 | -1.30255387275861 |
| 25 | 8.28 | 8.28781819076896 | 0.0375929514288642 | -0.00781819076896485 | -0.969939021343275 |
| 26 | 8.29 | 8.28980682994419 | 0.0318899566322585 | 0.000193170055808733 | -0.81457050795472 |
| 27 | 8.3 | 8.29979910510404 | 0.0283238665065306 | 0.000200894895957535 | -0.551689911682417 |
| 28 | 8.3 | 8.29979073802117 | 0.0237102420980077 | 0.000209261978827828 | -0.713852183622498 |
| 29 | 8.31 | 8.30978734756625 | 0.0214772130535243 | 0.000212652433754479 | -0.345545158482727 |
| 30 | 8.33 | 8.32978704175544 | 0.02123663055199 | 0.000212958244557618 | -0.0372310755894764 |
| 31 | 8.33 | 8.32978336134716 | 0.0177781396026453 | 0.000216638652835544 | -0.53524176071904 |
| 32 | 8.34 | 8.33978223287843 | 0.0165114714802538 | 0.000217767121566926 | -0.196038543351975 |
| 33 | 8.48 | 8.47979723130562 | 0.0366210961203699 | 0.000202768694375998 | 3.11238488854689 |
| 34 | 8.59 | 8.58980469230427 | 0.048570375887871 | 0.000195307695725699 | 1.84943285114186 |
| 35 | 8.67 | 8.66980736760433 | 0.05368843035051 | 0.000192632395669920 | 0.792149223483837 |
| 36 | 8.67 | 8.66980354180451 | 0.044945780928337 | 0.000196458195488437 | -1.35315905324315 |
| 37 | 8.67 | 8.67721558017537 | 0.0388864245590012 | -0.00721558017537371 | -1.00113850041526 |
| 38 | 8.71 | 8.709415722347 | 0.0378117009290267 | 0.000584277653006517 | -0.157265106796134 |
| 39 | 8.72 | 8.71940810976931 | 0.0332806369663036 | 0.000591890230692181 | -0.700930959637714 |
| 40 | 8.72 | 8.71940048464838 | 0.0278593923425237 | 0.000599515351616428 | -0.838775358579526 |
| 41 | 8.72 | 8.71939514127338 | 0.0233217184965352 | 0.00060485872662086 | -0.702150360107278 |
| 42 | 8.74 | 8.73939460793605 | 0.0227807245478065 | 0.000605392063954994 | -0.0837190760111358 |
| 43 | 8.74 | 8.73939154592883 | 0.0190707182239226 | 0.000608454071174561 | -0.574157866944926 |
| 44 | 8.74 | 8.73938940003462 | 0.0159650259501973 | 0.000610599965376414 | -0.4806537862901 |
| 45 | 8.74 | 8.73938789614622 | 0.0133651659250915 | 0.00061210385378419 | -0.402379661059021 |
| 46 | 8.79 | 8.7893907851389 | 0.0193309404188876 | 0.000609214861099462 | 0.923339410461482 |
| 47 | 8.85 | 8.84939347001116 | 0.0259535829546015 | 0.000606529988838693 | 1.02501872946052 |
| 48 | 8.86 | 8.85939258830118 | 0.0233556877965697 | 0.000607411698818161 | -0.402092780351392 |
| 49 | 8.87 | 8.877234006816 | 0.022463385363615 | -0.00723400681599721 | -0.145071746740841 |
| 50 | 8.92 | 8.91917684266502 | 0.0256026177572776 | 0.00082315733498205 | 0.465227470300943 |
| 51 | 8.96 | 8.95917998885346 | 0.0279480019242307 | 0.000820011146539278 | 0.362856825217533 |
| 52 | 8.97 | 8.96917670474563 | 0.0250245635900004 | 0.000823295254371052 | -0.452348355170663 |
| 53 | 8.99 | 8.98917593509685 | 0.0242062132295584 | 0.00082406490315245 | -0.126636484180673 |
| 54 | 8.98 | 8.97917154880821 | 0.0186353811313104 | 0.000828451191791742 | -0.862120579036046 |
| 55 | 8.98 | 8.97916954833848 | 0.0156005451401988 | 0.00083045166151505 | -0.469681068759545 |
| 56 | 9.01 | 9.00917084236662 | 0.0179454773656467 | 0.00082915763337638 | 0.362920969542036 |
| 57 | 9.01 | 9.00916949229011 | 0.0150231399568251 | 0.00083050770989142 | -0.452295110641569 |
| 58 | 9.03 | 9.02916980573825 | 0.0158335867924407 | 0.000830194261744637 | 0.125436206750590 |
| 59 | 9.05 | 9.04917002541313 | 0.0165120512004670 | 0.000829974586873763 | 0.105009900970198 |
| 60 | 9.05 | 9.04916929658114 | 0.0138232252403307 | 0.000830703418861457 | -0.416168527928599 |
