Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[32])
20	156.59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	157.97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	158.68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	163.55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	162.89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	164.95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	159.82	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	159.05	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	166.76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	164.55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	163.22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	160.68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	155.24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	157.6	150.4021	142.0769	158.7272	0.0451	0.1274	0.0374	0.1274
34	156.56	148.2322	133.7914	162.673	0.1292	0.1018	0.0781	0.1708
35	154.82	148.1545	128.1016	168.2074	0.2574	0.2057	0.0662	0.2443
36	151.11	150.663	123.8566	177.4693	0.487	0.3806	0.1857	0.3689
37	149.65	152.8818	120.8034	184.9602	0.4217	0.5431	0.2304	0.4427
38	148.99	153.8923	117.8341	189.9504	0.3949	0.5912	0.3736	0.4708
39	148.53	153.0154	114.3614	191.6694	0.41	0.5809	0.3798	0.4551
40	146.7	151.4755	110.7199	192.2311	0.4092	0.5563	0.2312	0.4282
41	145.11	150.2755	107.4739	193.0771	0.4065	0.565	0.2567	0.4101
42	142.7	150.2137	105.0289	195.3986	0.3722	0.5876	0.2863	0.4137
43	143.59	150.9919	103.1849	198.799	0.3808	0.6331	0.3456	0.4309
44	140.96	151.9588	101.5364	202.3812	0.3345	0.6275	0.4493	0.4493
45	140.77	152.4111	99.6686	205.1537	0.3327	0.6648	0.4235	0.4581
46	139.81	152.2008	97.4649	206.9368	0.3286	0.6588	0.438	0.4567
47	140.58	151.6033	95.0911	208.1154	0.3511	0.6587	0.4556	0.4498
48	139.59	151.1069	92.863	209.3507	0.3492	0.6384	0.5	0.4447
49	138.05	151.001	90.9671	211.0349	0.3362	0.6453	0.5176	0.445
50	136.06	151.2677	89.3757	213.1598	0.315	0.6622	0.5288	0.4499
51	135.98	151.6434	87.9006	215.3862	0.315	0.6841	0.5381	0.456
52	134.75	151.8622	86.3561	217.3684	0.3043	0.6827	0.5614	0.4597
53	132.22	151.8177	84.6674	218.9681	0.2837	0.6908	0.5776	0.4602
54	135.37	151.6018	82.8989	220.3047	0.3217	0.7098	0.6002	0.4587
55	138.84	151.3934	81.178	221.6088	0.363	0.6727	0.5862	0.4572
56	138.83	151.3261	79.5975	223.0546	0.3664	0.6335	0.6115	0.4574
57	136.55	151.4098	78.1595	224.6601	0.3455	0.6318	0.6121	0.4592
58	135.63	151.5553	76.7941	226.3164	0.3382	0.653	0.6209	0.4615
59	139.14	151.6537	75.4195	227.8879	0.3738	0.6598	0.6121	0.4633
60	136.09	151.6527	73.9966	229.3089	0.3472	0.6239	0.6196	0.4639

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
33	0.0282	0.0479	0	51.8103	0	0
34	0.0497	0.0562	0.052	69.3523	60.5813	7.7834
35	0.0691	0.045	0.0497	44.4289	55.1972	7.4295
36	0.0908	0.003	0.038	0.1998	41.4478	6.438
37	0.1071	-0.0211	0.0346	10.4446	35.2472	5.9369
38	0.1195	-0.0319	0.0342	24.0323	33.378	5.7774
39	0.1289	-0.0293	0.0335	20.1192	31.4839	5.6111
40	0.1373	-0.0315	0.0332	22.8054	30.3991	5.5135
41	0.1453	-0.0344	0.0334	26.6823	29.9861	5.476
42	0.1535	-0.05	0.035	56.4562	32.6331	5.7125
43	0.1615	-0.049	0.0363	54.7886	34.6473	5.8862
44	0.1693	-0.0724	0.0393	120.9738	41.8412	6.4685
45	0.1766	-0.0764	0.0422	135.5161	49.0469	7.0034
46	0.1835	-0.0814	0.045	153.5329	56.5102	7.5173
47	0.1902	-0.0727	0.0468	121.5122	60.8437	7.8002
48	0.1967	-0.0762	0.0486	132.6379	65.3308	8.0827
49	0.2028	-0.0858	0.0508	167.7279	71.3542	8.4471
50	0.2088	-0.1005	0.0536	231.2748	80.2386	8.9576
51	0.2145	-0.1033	0.0562	245.3429	88.9283	9.4302
52	0.2201	-0.1127	0.059	292.8278	99.1233	9.9561
53	0.2257	-0.1291	0.0624	384.0712	112.6923	10.6157
54	0.2312	-0.1071	0.0644	263.4714	119.5459	10.9337
55	0.2366	-0.0829	0.0652	157.5883	121.1999	11.0091
56	0.2418	-0.0826	0.0659	156.1524	122.6562	11.075
57	0.2468	-0.0981	0.0672	220.8141	126.5825	11.2509
58	0.2517	-0.1051	0.0687	253.6141	131.4684	11.466
59	0.2565	-0.0825	0.0692	156.5936	132.3989	11.5065
60	0.2613	-0.1026	0.0704	242.1989	136.3204	11.6756