| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | ma2 | ma3 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.6622 | 0.1574 | -0.4863 | -0.2532 | -0.2487 | 0.4471 |
| (p-val) | (0.1003 ) | (0.7621 ) | (0.0543 ) | (0.5159 ) | (0.6298 ) | (0.0664 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.7049 | 0 | -0.4193 | -0.2923 | -0.1148 | 0.4551 |
| (p-val) | (0.1369 ) | (NA ) | (0.0063 ) | (0.5237 ) | (0.6752 ) | (0.0762 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.5269 | 0 | -0.4121 | -0.1419 | 0 | 0.5128 |
| (p-val) | (0.0161 ) | (NA ) | (0.0196 ) | (0.5294 ) | (NA ) | (0.0332 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.4201 | 0 | -0.3587 | 0 | 0 | 0.485 |
| (p-val) | (7e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0.0553 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0366 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0.4252 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0504 |
| (p-val) | (6e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.7591 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0.4252 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (6e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.133909917430264 |
| -0.693444839991829 |
| 2.49996902444573 |
| -3.12542314578416 |
| 3.27275796841100 |
| -4.64383499817809 |
| 0.0623979539890243 |
| -2.08479242764999 |
| -8.01034344308075 |
| 5.40209092720482 |
| 2.27718297747296 |
| -0.00788650459964952 |
| 9.64013636405396 |
| 15.2115049870816 |
| 2.06326543875836 |
| -0.100675726386607 |
| -5.00656255784646 |
| -3.12297620876458 |
| 0.934456965224882 |
| -4.39859070109665 |
| 3.6505695284732 |
| 0.0761446797919803 |
| 4.79000973536139 |
| -2.91466635789979 |
| 2.33676417585806 |
| -6.24744449553668 |
| 1.55808747531768 |
| 7.919502013679 |
| -5.17284494524907 |
| -0.468990949977751 |
| -2.37401208532575 |
| -4.09916821590647 |
| 4.69652259665588 |
| -1.92362623546126 |
| -1.09106512859063 |
| -3.20712401024275 |
| 0.214371633358354 |
| 0.0157676478795281 |
| -0.0176219085583966 |
| -1.64524007070071 |
| -0.812754075956235 |
| -1.73310804695100 |
| 1.99762242507373 |
| -2.96739489504526 |
| 1.01558965850194 |
| -0.979983388678676 |
| 1.32783347780381 |
| -1.36860070688530 |
| -1.06966032039142 |
| -1.40223316925088 |
| 0.835101393887612 |
| -1.14203169667351 |
| -1.93632309038867 |
| 4.18352868744 |
| 2.18835474083539 |
| -1.38763072061064 |
| -2.48677304029084 |
| -0.0610216109031683 |
| 3.97114099491264 |
| -4.4168714121715 |
