| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 5.6 | 5.59492906224467 | 0.186778243748734 | 0.00221427715431012 | 1.42458337469500 |
| 4 | 5.7 | 5.70252607853967 | 0.111016827213531 | -0.00139554471429272 | -0.570862247186259 |
| 5 | 5.8 | 5.80008927511991 | 0.0981409066347055 | 0.000102955835649726 | -0.0970457396502012 |
| 6 | 5.8 | 5.80235207494681 | 0.00637655182629163 | -0.000982115106944923 | -0.69161815226378 |
| 7 | 5.8 | 5.79992580436382 | -0.0020485221601655 | 0.000199974492124871 | -0.0634988920090417 |
| 8 | 5.9 | 5.89743696070077 | 0.0932387481502883 | 0.00114048519531547 | 0.7181700750304 |
| 9 | 6.1 | 6.09755551667313 | 0.195532040049441 | 0.000917335558287218 | 0.770973718620297 |
| 10 | 6.4 | 6.39763481100681 | 0.295592877760667 | 0.000871369777945345 | 0.754147947587207 |
| 11 | 6.4 | 6.40747016793218 | 0.0220980170669061 | -0.00338713317532346 | -2.06130182982399 |
| 12 | 6.3 | 6.30237985010868 | -0.099632308005343 | -0.000562524741128899 | -0.917468581237651 |
| 13 | 6.2 | 6.19902993875199 | -0.103182513573111 | 0.00102306265612186 | -0.0270898119053488 |
| 14 | 6.2 | 6.20013575468071 | -0.00702524368577775 | -0.00150880414386178 | 0.723733395498135 |
| 15 | 6.3 | 6.29335051725193 | 0.0879427323860012 | 0.00526691770730597 | 0.713000940592935 |
| 16 | 6.4 | 6.40165290372803 | 0.107185462175953 | -0.00193407170385801 | 0.144935730386198 |
| 17 | 6.5 | 6.49884986214798 | 0.0977396072453852 | 0.00128834281056557 | -0.0711934804822539 |
| 18 | 6.6 | 6.5996970274486 | 0.100678456729547 | 0.000259974724853204 | 0.0221497777472345 |
| 19 | 6.6 | 6.60338484512448 | 0.00895520589438013 | -0.00204285472685143 | -0.691308465887857 |
| 20 | 6.6 | 6.59881426253884 | -0.00383599856638569 | 0.00137288381643899 | -0.0964059544292592 |
| 21 | 6.8 | 6.79609425770665 | 0.186357444232509 | 0.00112304813995894 | 1.43346786040070 |
| 22 | 7 | 6.99611219313887 | 0.199276059584364 | 0.00369879637410487 | 0.09736623693722 |
| 23 | 7.2 | 7.20123040203931 | 0.204801056751968 | -0.00131123751204656 | 0.0416413826691433 |
| 24 | 7.3 | 7.30297255889833 | 0.107350482078810 | -0.00154679298410702 | -0.734488431525079 |
| 25 | 7.5 | 7.49742654516942 | 0.189629100090806 | 0.00136866908338301 | 0.625796016197485 |
| 26 | 7.6 | 7.60703199949395 | 0.116016038872831 | -0.00598900387268696 | -0.553974498406099 |
| 27 | 7.6 | 7.60014948336185 | 0.000630647335701798 | 0.00151138029593659 | -0.867864757490339 |
| 28 | 7.7 | 7.697293118246 | 0.0910610194924145 | 0.00140463339607679 | 0.680954470032129 |
| 29 | 7.7 | 7.70464141272945 | 0.0125802444187983 | -0.00350924567481978 | -0.591513393392292 |
| 30 | 7.7 | 7.69826377207266 | -0.00519432183834172 | 0.00199263523332874 | -0.133964660063898 |
| 31 | 7.7 | 7.69842050660236 | -0.000177414621978083 | 0.00150712154214752 | 0.037811903148499 |
| 32 | 7.6 | 7.6079138855999 | -0.0848654138004662 | -0.00669221133973031 | -0.638284477413956 |
| 33 | 7.7 | 7.69233302868732 | 0.0738470560132779 | 0.00537745036201355 | 1.19619912826708 |
| 34 | 7.9 | 7.89430433410102 | 0.193970989304979 | 0.00396280759871149 | 0.905361423552947 |
| 35 | 7.9 | 7.90518505650615 | 0.0223077825633996 | -0.00270871075913092 | -1.29381480943853 |
| 36 | 7.9 | 7.90538476002576 | 0.00158615846250746 | -0.00508585652124643 | -0.156192584076223 |
| 37 | 7.8 | 7.80163330806544 | -0.0971475180939086 | -0.000206986290705274 | -0.748851785082806 |
| 38 | 7.6 | 7.60293755832055 | -0.190476204578409 | -0.00162045759966602 | -0.702411224447467 |
| 39 | 7.4 | 7.40363111443934 | -0.198714039820923 | -0.00351341290785465 | -0.062039334267044 |
| 40 | 7 | 7.00404497532107 | -0.385837040293015 | -0.00137521949952675 | -1.40884139874126 |
| 41 | 7 | 6.98630874439361 | -0.0427767195160832 | 0.0087870800554346 | 2.58566111656610 |
| 42 | 7.2 | 7.19129158744361 | 0.188163429262786 | 0.00540711354479786 | 1.74056265310308 |
| 43 | 7.5 | 7.48853574444534 | 0.289835947444405 | 0.0100108306524826 | 0.766295107050017 |
| 44 | 7.8 | 7.80985414041975 | 0.319179828001152 | -0.0102736158529113 | 0.221161713028408 |
| 45 | 7.8 | 7.81647675151408 | 0.0278539810744289 | -0.0123122017393184 | -2.19569223430684 |
| 46 | 7.7 | 7.69431319402758 | -0.111976366329345 | 0.00768570205743901 | -1.05388731292599 |
| 47 | 7.6 | 7.60183556242515 | -0.0938014117586268 | -0.00209537713186450 | 0.136983655418038 |
| 48 | 7.6 | 7.59872646065476 | -0.00930513963389062 | 6.57712675868477e-05 | 0.636988803157634 |
| 49 | 7.5 | 7.50101968344662 | -0.0917198423608942 | 0.000160284299135285 | -0.623779211866528 |
| 50 | 7.5 | 7.5022558913517 | -0.00631540265347379 | -0.00345880529299559 | 0.642892908591166 |
| 51 | 7.6 | 7.58286193807387 | 0.0744182522217325 | 0.0159900833287319 | 0.608485940145603 |
| 52 | 7.6 | 7.61388978368848 | 0.0341521149609615 | -0.0133185409214909 | -0.303144393414934 |
| 53 | 7.9 | 7.88781710451507 | 0.256725468936608 | 0.0090192529231363 | 1.67752712011016 |
| 54 | 7.6 | 7.62245678993505 | -0.228009411016664 | -0.0155666882137413 | -3.65337255024858 |
| 55 | 7.5 | 7.4922631519282 | -0.137193784208280 | 0.0064459696577424 | 0.684467621822883 |
| 56 | 7.5 | 7.49330159412482 | -0.00885709677260038 | 0.00487419117958781 | 0.96725999751738 |
| 57 | 7.6 | 7.60037912811503 | 0.0987785429623711 | -0.00190909233294563 | 0.81123846432232 |
| 58 | 7.7 | 7.6923737559083 | 0.0924800394378096 | 0.0077157727802329 | -0.0474712782275398 |
| 59 | 7.8 | 7.80706340727148 | 0.113100172953108 | -0.00735650833255159 | 0.155412221241903 |
| 60 | 7.9 | 7.89542768843735 | 0.0901464748783864 | 0.00489855096200324 | -0.173063731784843 |
| 61 | 7.9 | 7.90713747032916 | 0.0172968737823766 | -0.00610054118703283 | -0.550585766746228 |
