Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[47])
35	108.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	102.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	100.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	115.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	100.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	109.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	114.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	85.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	100.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	114.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	116.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	112.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	102	106.7847	98.4193	115.15	0.1311	0.076	0.8533	0.076
49	106	103.8257	95.46	112.1914	0.3052	0.6656	0.8709	0.0168
50	105.3	103.6372	94.6886	112.5858	0.3579	0.3024	0.74	0.0212
51	118.8	118.7052	109.3996	128.0107	0.492	0.9976	0.7502	0.8893
52	106.1	103.2922	93.9151	112.6693	0.2786	6e-04	0.706	0.0223
53	109.3	112.0097	102.4318	121.5875	0.2896	0.8867	0.667	0.4277
54	117.2	116.5653	106.9104	126.2203	0.4487	0.9299	0.655	0.7716
55	92.5	86.992	77.2757	96.7083	0.1333	0	0.6259	0
56	104.2	101.89	92.1159	111.6641	0.3216	0.9701	0.6098	0.0136
57	112.5	116.0051	106.1996	125.8106	0.2418	0.9909	0.5952	0.7326
58	122.4	117.5136	107.6805	127.3467	0.165	0.8412	0.5801	0.8211
59	113.3	113.7821	103.9293	123.6349	0.4618	0.0432	0.5696	0.5696

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
48	0.04	-0.0448	0	22.8932	0	0
49	0.0411	0.0209	0.0329	4.7275	13.8104	3.7162
50	0.0441	0.016	0.0273	2.7649	10.1285	3.1825
51	0.04	8e-04	0.0206	0.009	7.5987	2.7566
52	0.0463	0.0272	0.022	7.884	7.6557	2.7669
53	0.0436	-0.0242	0.0223	7.3422	7.6035	2.7574
54	0.0423	0.0054	0.0199	0.4028	6.5748	2.5641
55	0.057	0.0633	0.0253	30.3383	9.5452	3.0895
56	0.0489	0.0227	0.025	5.336	9.0775	3.0129
57	0.0431	-0.0302	0.0256	12.2859	9.3984	3.0657
58	0.0427	0.0416	0.027	23.8772	10.7146	3.2733
59	0.0442	-0.0042	0.0251	0.2324	9.8411	3.1371