Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[108])
96	2.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	3.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
98	3.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
99	3.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
100	4.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
101	4.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
102	5.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
103	5.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
104	5.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
105	5.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
106	5.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
107	4.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
108	3.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
109	2.6	2.8011	2.1203	3.482	0.2813	0.1948	0.1948	0.1948
110	2.3	2.5792	1.5333	3.6252	0.3004	0.4845	0.0422	0.1646
111	1.9	2.5237	1.2106	3.8369	0.1759	0.6308	0.0541	0.1949
112	0.6	2.0799	0.5454	3.6144	0.0294	0.5909	0.0015	0.0963
113	0.6	2.1909	0.4631	3.9186	0.0356	0.9644	0.0113	0.1512
114	-0.4	1.6361	-0.2654	3.5375	0.0179	0.8572	1e-04	0.0656
115	-1.1	1.3032	-0.7574	3.3638	0.0111	0.9474	0	0.0437
116	-1.7	1.2477	-0.9605	3.456	0.0044	0.9814	0	0.0501
117	-0.8	1.5251	-0.8215	3.8718	0.0261	0.9965	6e-04	0.0942
118	-1.2	1.4696	-1.0077	3.947	0.0173	0.9637	7e-04	0.0985
119	-1	1.9135	-0.688	4.5149	0.0141	0.9905	0.0179	0.1857
120	-0.1	2.8011	0.0812	5.5211	0.0183	0.9969	0.4147	0.4147

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
109	0.124	-0.0718	0	0.0405	0	0
110	0.2069	-0.1083	0.09	0.078	0.0592	0.2433
111	0.2655	-0.2471	0.1424	0.389	0.1692	0.4113
112	0.3764	-0.7115	0.2847	2.1901	0.6744	0.8212
113	0.4024	-0.7261	0.373	2.5308	1.0457	1.0226
114	0.593	-1.2445	0.5182	4.1456	1.5623	1.2499
115	0.8067	-1.8441	0.7076	5.7753	2.1642	1.4711
116	0.903	-2.3625	0.9145	8.689	2.9798	1.7262
117	0.785	-1.5246	0.9823	5.4061	3.2494	1.8026
118	0.86	-1.8165	1.0657	7.1269	3.6371	1.9071
119	0.6937	-1.5226	1.1072	8.4883	4.0781	2.0194
120	0.4954	-1.0357	1.1013	8.4166	4.4397	2.1071